Professional Punters Diary
Wednesday
May 31st: And it is our last chance to make a profit for the month.
Yesterday I responded to a client who was wondering about the Bravo
selections. You may remember that this was a service started by
Amelia Burton when she wrote her book Punting
In The New Millenium. From January 1st there have been 175 bets
for 36 wins and $2209 profit for a $10 bet. If anything , like a lot of
figures we look at, the average dividends are down right across the board.
My
feeling is that it is cyclical.
The
one consistent thing I find is that the vast majority of punters are inconsistent,
like the ones who follow Bravo but miss the winning days. We all miss days, family circumstance being what
they are.
We
have emailed all our Members who have an IASbet
account about a new deal they are offering starting June 5th. If you don't
have an account and open one now you can actually "double dip"
but don't say I said so. Here is the IASBet link (now SportsBet). Punters can't really afford to pass up these
generous offers, I mean it is money for nothing.
On
that subject, who has only one betting account these days? I have about
a dozen, and one of those matches whatever everybody else offers, so I am
well placed to take advantage of price moves etc.
Tuesday
May 30th: 1/01/2006 to 30/04/2006
74
bets 29 wins 50 places Proit $1950 39% won 26.4 % POT. $708 68% placed
Does
that sound like a good betting plan? It's the results of our Free system
in Horse
Racing Australia magazine for the year to date. On these figures
alone a subscription to the magazine at just $99 per year which includes Best Bets and Sports
selections as well as the Feature Race each weekend would be a good
bet don't you think? Click the link to the bookshop on our main page to order.
Yesterday
we got the very good winner we were looking for. It paid as much as $21
if you were lucky and still $13 if you missed the best price. We have had
some nice emails about this winner at Bathurst, a mere country meeting.
It was the only winner on the day but still provided a good profit and lifted Money Factory substantially and we now look like finishing May in
profit.
Monday
May 29th: It has not been a good month but little harm has been done.
We are right on our expected strike rate of 22% or more for the singles but at $50 a bet the average dividends achieved at $4.34 is not enough and
we are $400 behind. The
Money Factory had one bust only and is at -$1135 but one good longshot
at the right time will fix this. Subscribers who don't do all days are possibly
bettter off. Brenton Burford, for example, has not had a bust for months
and so is well in front including this month and that's without the $74
winner late last month. Brenton has a number of elimination rules which
can include the price he is able to get.
He
also doen't like betting in races with first starters, races where there
is an odds on favourite and some other rules but I don't know exactly what
these are. Every punter has his own individual ideas and the results we
post are the results of getting every bet on, even if track conditions change.
Here
are my personal results for the past six weeks using 12 Money
Factory columns which all operate individually. Every column has
made a profit except Column 5 which stands at -$1101. Total profits are
$3618 and with the progressive of all coulumns standing at -$3763 you could
say I was behind except that we expect every one of those columns to turn
a profit. When they do, I will have around $7,000.
Each
week so far the current outs has averaged about $200 per column and of course
there have not been as many bets this month due to wet conditions.
Horse
Racing Australia magazine is in the Newsagents this week and there
is plenty of good winning advice. For the first time we made the Simply
The Best selections available and there were four bets for two winners.
Double Coincider, the Free system from the first edition of the magazine
has now hads four bets for the month for four winners! Can't beat that.
Check out the magazine for details. The selections are available via the
phone number in the magazine or now on the Internet for a small annual fee.
Of course , using the rules and working it out for yourself is free.
Saturday
May 27th: No update tomorrow as I will be visiting Mark and Kim Waugh
at Rosehill to view their new synidcate nbo. 3 horses. Yesterday was poor
with only one winner. Today we have the new Free system from the June
magazine on the info line. The "system" is Simply The
Best and readers should note that an even better result can be obtained
by sticking to selections that are rated in the top four by Winform. Strike
rate for these this year is 44% at an average dividend of well over three
dollars . I wish I'd known this beforehand!
Thursday
May 25th: What a thriller the Origin game turned out to be, and us with egg on our face. Our Weekend
Sports Tips are now on the website and we are hoping for another
winnning week. A lot of the markets are tight though, nevertheless we expect
to maintain our 67%+ strike rate.
Today
there is only one Single
Selection for the day so our Members can have a holiday. Those who
want to bet Powerbet or Doubles etc. can still follow our ratings successfully,
it is just our special Single
Selections that we don't risk on rain affected tracks.
All
paid subscribers will receive the latest edition of Horse Racing Australia
magazine shortly. If you haven't subscribed you can buy one at your newsagent
from next week or order a subscription from our Bookshop.
Wednesday
May 24th: And I told you what can happen with these days of few selections.
Yesterday was a blindingly successful day with only four average priced
winners. Actually the whole day was a great hit for all of our punters as
winners were everywhere. We had come off a very disappointing weekend with
just 27% winners from around 130+ races. We had to get winners just to bring
the average back to the usual 34%. While there is really no such thing as
the "law of averages" the fact remains that when you have large
, many thousands of previous results to go on, you know that in the end
there will be no change.
Tonight's Origin match has taken a new twist with major inury problems for NSW.
All of a sudden the $2.12 available for Queensland yesterday, has become a bargain with the new quote $1.95 but you can get
$2 for either side to be in front at half time. You can get $1.90 for NSW at full time.
Tomorrow
night we have the Socceroos against Greece in front of an even bigger crowd than Origin.
Australia are $2.25 to win, Greece $3.35 and the draw $3.25. I have no expertise
whatsoever in the round ball game but I suspect there is a psychological
edge to be got. While you're thinking about that, think about these few
words I picked up today.
Dance
like nobody's watching;
Love like you've never been hurt.
Sing like nobody's listening
Live like it's heaven on earth.
What
more can I say?
Tuesday
23rd May: What's the chance NSW will beat Queensland by 3 points or less? You can bet Queensland to win outright and NSW to win
by 3 or more and make 2% profit. That's $10k out for a very small profit.
There are many more options such as Man Of The Match where the options are
limited and the betting is wide enough to make a good dutch bet. Betting
Queensland every match since the series started has produced a very good
profit but can you wait till next year to recoup if they lose this one?
NSW
has injury concerns and Queensland has a young fresh team. It is a big question
mark.
Oh
sorry! What about Racing? Well, with very few selections each day just one
good winner will give us a happy result and if we get no winners it is not
a disaster, just a disappointment. We still have a week to go for May so
there's time to hit the front again.
To
get the best odds on the Footy, if you're interested, visit the bookies
page and click on the releavnt option. All the bookies listed are
offering free bets so if you open an account you must win!
Monday
22nd May: I'm cheating again, it is actually Sunday night and I can
tell you that it has been a fabulous winning day with a $13.50, $17+ and
$5 + winners from limited selections. Our one recommended footy bet for
the weekend has also won making us a footy winner ten out of twelve weeks
to date and winning about 70% of matches. A family commitment today meant
that I have missed out on the winnings but I know there will be many more
winning days.
I
have recently found that a number of our readers have opened accounts through
the icon on our website and to date this has been exclusive to our Members. Canbet covers a lot of International sports and their margins
are very slim so your chance of winning on sports with them is very good.
Sometime today the girls will add the Canbet banner to our Free bet bonuses website so everyone can get
a share of the extra dividends. I should alert everybody to the fact that
the IAS website is undergoing another upgrade and you should see the new look any
day soon.
Sunday
21st May: I can report a win yesterday, although not a great one. There
was one $13.55 winner at the Gold Coast and a couple of $5+ winners from
the single selections. The Feature race was a dud for us but we were taking
a chance on a long shot. The footy results have been much as expected so
far, unpredictable! We are glad we did not bet the Knights, even though
they won. The odds on offer were too short and we would have lost at the
margin by half a point. We have just the one weekend bet today so here's
hoping. Then we can breath easy as we watch the State Of Origin match on
Wednesday night.
My
12 column Money
Factory Bank is working well. All but column 4 have made profits,
in total $3322 since we commenced about four weeks ago. The progressive
run on all columns is currently $3138 and of this $962 is column 4. Management
of the columns has been very easy and there have only been a few days where
we have had to do other than update the results at night.
The
patchy rain around the country means that we have had far fewer bets than
usual so the results may yo-yo a bit. With Winter just around the corner,
we do expect to start seeing some longshot results.
Thursday
May 18th: What a fight that was last night. Mundine must have a very
hard head as did Greene. I hate seeing people with smart mouths winning
though. They say 50,000 people paid to see it on Pay TV and venues paid
$2200 each to show it. I feel for the people who paid gate money to basically
only see it on the big screen. No matter what you think about boxing, it
was a good gambling opportunity when you saw the markets for a points win
by either boxer. A draw was unlikely and in spite of both boxers having
previously won by knockouts, this was not that type of match.
Anyhow,
perhaps I'm covering up for the quiet week we are having. No not really
but there hasn't been much action because of rain affected tracks. The weekend
sports selections is looking slim too with only a couple of good bets and
these are on the HRA info line now.
Tuesday
May 16th: We had a minor setback with the magazine yesterday and so
it will be a week late and subscribers will now receive it next week. We
had no winners at all yesterday but like everything else it is just a minor
setback. It just means that profits will be delayed.
We
had some interesting queries overnight and one thing that no one seems to
understand is multiples like the Patent which is one of the best bets going.
Rather than explain it to you I will direct you to the IAS site. When you get there look up help and multi bets and you
will see a very clear explanation of all their multiples including the Patent.
It can be a very lucrative bet and is ideal for sports bets.
Monday
May 15th: It is sad to report that the May Money
Factory currently sits at -$2453 while level stake is just -$400
on a $50 bet. The winners just did not fall in the right order, or they
did not pay enough. There have been 165 bets for 39 winners at $4.03 average
dividend. Just one extra winner or one bigger dividend would have been enough
on Saturday.
I
hope readers though to take a Patent bet (available at IAS) on the Sunday Footy selections. A $50 bets returned a profit
of $1153. I didn't even think of it myself. You know, we are running at
about 75% strike rate with the Footy tips after ten weeks so mutliple bets
are always going to be a good chance.
Bathurst
and Port Macquarie both have good tracks today so with any luck we can come
out a winner, and boy, don't you have to have patience in this game. My
12 Money
Factory columns are well in profit but all this is in use as each
column is in progressive mode.
Sunday
May 14th: And who will be betting today? Well all of you mothers who
punt for a start, and those hubbies who can get away with it. My wife Ros
is taking her mum out to lunch and then we will go back home to watch the
footy on TV (we're away today). Yesterday was a good day with a clear level
stakes profit on the singles and a Money
Factory boosting double figure winner. We missed the Quaddie in
Melbourne for about the 4th time lately with three legs in (as usual). We
did get a $1,000+ pay three weeks ago though.
The
Free System plan from Horse
Racing Australia magazine, Autumn edition, scored one winner from
one so it is three from three since we kicked off the 1902 info line. 1902
215 231 if you've forgotten it.
The
Footy tips have started off badly with Manly trodden on and Hawthorn getting the same from the two Brisbane based teams. To top it off we took
St George at -6.5 and they won by 6 exactly. We rely on the Bulldogs to beat Port and the Knights to beat the Tigers and Adelaide to
win by a big break to salvage some pride and money and if you're a Mum Happy
Mothers Day!
Friday
May 12th: We did a review of the Best
Bets over the past two days and are pleased to report that it has
sustained a 42% STRIKE RATE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2004! Dividends have varied
from odds on to as high as $18.30. For a $99 annual fee it is a remarkable
deal.
Today
we have a brand new racetrack, the Canberra Acton artificial surface. This
will be in use while Canberra's course proprer is rebuilt. It is expected
that this track will be used during Winter each year even after the new
course proprer is completed. We have noted today that horses that finish
on are the ones to be on. So far results are in line with our expectations.
Our
singles are in a drought again and we are hoping for a good priced winner
today sometime. Here's hoping.
For
the first few races today I did a parlay and was successful. I was experimenting
with the idea that diffferent size fields required different numbers of
runners in each leg to be successful. In other words, how many runners do
we need to take in what size fields to get at least a 50%+ strke rate?
Thursday
May 11th: And the girls have put through
the scrambled database for win only AND as actually happened in real time
order we have made a substantial profit. My conclusion is that win only
delivers in the end even if there does happen to be a fall every now and
then.
A
couple of winners yesterday from a small number of bets and again today
a small number to be bet with more wet tracks. My past experience suggests
that even with fewer bets the Winter period can be quite good.
The
sports bets are up now and for those who haven't subscribed you can get
them today and tomorrow on our new number 1902 215231 at $1.10 p.m. On Saturday
we have the selections from the Free System in the magazine.
Wednesday
May 10th: Paul Butts takes issue with our
each way workout as he has made a good profit using the Single
Selections each way since November last year. He did point out to
me that he bets them straight out up to $3 and each way otherwise. He also
pointed out that Sports Acumen gave him the best each way return and I would
have to agree with that. Click on the Sports Acumen banner on the right
to set up an account or get further information.
Talking
of Sports Acumen, I recommended to everybody Sunday to bet the Knights with 2.5 start @ $1.90 at half time. This is a "custom line" bet
which they are keen to promote ( a normal full time line bet does not qualify).
So keen in fact that they gave me a Free premiership bet for $100 to match
my bet. What's even better is that my bet won as well. They will do the
same for you so if you have one of these bets at the weekend (we'll suggest
one for you) you can have a Free matching bet up to $100 on your favourite
team. That's money for nothing in my book and we should take every edge
we can get.
Yesterday
we made a good profit on the singles as I like many others, got caught and
did not become aware of the downgrade at Taree until after my bets were
on. Bad luck good luck. What can I say?
Tuesday
May 9th: A check on the current Money
Factory shows a $569 profit so far and the current series is at
-$1539 which we assume will come back soon enough. I have to report that
the Each way workout has come up negative. One of the reasons for this is
that the pick up when winners come is too small. In the short term it is
a good strategy as the frequent dividends keep us afloat. We are better
off, however, going for the jugular i.e. the win bet, as there is much more
chance of a "super" pay.
I
have come to a decision not to include the Best
Bets in the workouts. I have found that this too can put a "slow"
on the returns and it is even worse if there is a slight losing run. The Best
Bets themselves work quite well with their own Money
Factory but you do bet much bigger on these shorter priced selections
and therefore use more money.
It
comes back to your own personal aims. I also believe a Money
Factory on the football will work extremely well as you wont have
any trouble getting as much money on as you want. Using best prices you
can bet to 103% and Money
Factory can turn that into a 7-10% profit. What I am saying is that
you can actually back both sides in every match to increase your turnover.
Think about it?
Monday
the 8th: I'm cheating again it's really
only Sunday night but I can tell you that three of our four recommended
footy bets won and so a handy profit was had. I fudged on a couple of bets
I wasn't game to take but they won too. The Season is starting to sort itself
out and both NRL and AFL are proving
very even with no undefeated teams in either code.
Yesterday's
Racing was alright with 6 winners from 20 but the dividends once again missed
the mark. We had one Best
Bet for a winner though. Our Top Two had 26 from 72 and 36% which
is slightly better than average considering the heavy tracks and there were
some good winners like Miss Diva $19+, Hell Of A Stand at $11.60 and Bondi
Express $17 + and these contributed to a healthy profit. I expect when we
enter the figure into Money
Factory that will also be positive.
I
have to admit that I do find it slightly amusing when I tell people how
well we are doing with sport and they say "I'm sorry. I'm not interested
in sports betting." I would have thought everybody was interested in
making a dollar but perhaps I am wrong. Well I know I am because there are
people out there who still prefer to take the worst possible odds even when
they know that for a little extra effort they could be winning instead of
losing.
Sunday
the 7th: And it's a full week since our big winning day last Sunday.
The footy has one winner and one loser with the Tigers to beat manly today
to complete the round. Newcastle is at $1.50 today so it is a no bet, simply
because of the lack of value. At Sports
Acumen you can bet the Knights to be 3 points ahead at half time for $1.90 and that is not a bad bet.
Powerbet users should have had a good day yesterday with some nice longshots. In
the June edition of the magazine we highlight a good Quinella/Exacta play
and yesterday there was a great result in the 7th at Ipswich which paid
$835 for a $17 outlay and in Racing
Pays More the Daily Double method paid $2400 for a $63 outlay at
Kembla. Come to think of it we got the Kembla Quaddie on NSWTAB yesterday
at $6,000+. Our 3rd rate $90 winner helped!
Plenty of single
selection winners yesterday but not enough at the prices to make a profit.
Even Best
Bets with 2 from 3 only made a small profit and we missed the Feature
Race.
Friday: Another
good day looms with a near 50% strike rate from the single selections again.
Tonight's Rugby League Test is interesting with New Zealand $4.50 in this
two horse race. The last few matches have been very competitive between
these two sides so why would you take the $1.20 about Australia? The outsider
won't win all these matches but they will win enough to make a profit at
those ridiculous odds.
We have had requests
from magazine readers for the selections from the magazine to be worked out as in some States form guides like Sportsman, arrive too
late. Call 1902 215 231 after 10.30 Sat and we'll work them out for you.
We'll even update after Perth scratchings. From Thursday we'll have the weekend
sports tips too and on Monday, the results. Cost is just $1.10 per
minute and most calls are brief.
Thursday Late: It's another one of our feel good days. It is probably close to a 50%
win strike day with wall to wall winners. My 12 Money
Factory columns are all in front but it has taken weeks to get to
this point and that is the problem, but it is also the solution. Short term
pain for long term gain. I actually need a column to go on a losing streak
so we can reap the big pay and it hasn't happened yet. It will though. I
will also lose a column here and there.
A level stakes
bet has been fantastic over the same period with a $50 bet there was about
$1,000 profit just today. We also had an email about a $10,000 win last
Sunday by a Member with a $1600 Bank. Amazing this Racing game!
Thursday: I
feel I have lost some info but there you are. We have had hardly any bets
this week so far due to rain affected tracks etc. but yesterday was O.K.
April turned out a good month with $4072 profit for a level stakes $50 bet
and Money
Factory $3118. Money
Factory was unfortunate to have busted a Bank because of the timing
and where the winners fell. Powerbet users have reported some good figures as well.
I am amazed to
hear that the AFL have changed the result of the St
Kilda/ Fremantle match from last Sunday. Anyone who backed Fremantle will feel hard done
by as they have missed out. It's like the backers of a horse that ran second
and days later the winner of that race is found to have returned a positive
swab and is disqualified. The owners of that horse lose the prizemoney but
the people who backed it keep their winings and you still miss out. I feel
that the AFL decision is a dangerous precedent.
Monday:
there are only two bets today for one win and one unplaced. I guess we'll
wait until tomorrow to verify our April results as the girls have a lot
of work on today and I am off until tomorrow. I do note that Powerbet users
are having a cackle today with longshot after longshot getting up. I can't
understand why NSW isn't covering Alice Springs today with just four Race
meetings on. It's a unique track but punters will bet on anything.
Sunday evening:
And we have won on the Sports
Selections, but only just. The bookmakers wouldn't accept our Knights bet (it was available Thursday) but we scored with four winners from the
remaining seven. I took two parlays and the first were all winners (Knights got counted as a scratching and a $1 dividend). At $220 for each parlay
($440 altogether) I received over $500 so a profit there plus the straight
out profit which was only about 3%. Just wait until we have a good day!
There is a lot of settling down taking place and some close results. Fremantle
looked home and fell in a hole to just escape with a draw and Hawthorn was
home by a point.
Todays Racing
was brilliant and here are the five winners from 16 selections. Dividends
are as paid to our Members by IAS.
BastoMan $6.26
Fine Weather $4.09
She Will Do $3.13
JestersRule $17.36
Bartfast $74.60
Total $105.44
We'll advise the Money
Factory and total month Result late tomorrow. Jenni will get the
results and Tegan will update Money Factory for the month of April. I expect
it will be a good result as I believe we were up $2,500+ before Friday.
Powerbet was good for the weekend too!
Sunday April
30th: It's two from four with our Sports
Selections, both of last week's mighty Geelong and Bulldogs clash went down and in contrast the two teams from last weekends SCG stouch,
the Demons and Swans both won.
We had Richmond @ $1.90 and Melbourne in the League at $1.95 so are near enough to square. We missed getting on
the Souths/Knights game today as betting was suspended due to the probability of Andrew Johns
playing. This leaves us barracking for St
Kilda, Hawthorn and Manly to put us in front.
Yesterday's Racing
left us in despair as our 33/1 shot was caught on the line at the Gold Coast.
Our 26% strike rate on the singles still left us short due to lower than
average prices. I was able to win yesterday as using the 12 columns in Money
Factory, I ended up with larger amounts on the winners than the
losers. Single column Money
Factory users would have had similar results.
Powerbet users would have had a good day due to some nice longshots amongst the second
raters and the 2nd rated winner of Caulfield Race 8 gave us the Quadrella
at $1617. We missed with Best
Bets (one from two but $1.50) and in the Feature
Race we took four horses but our fifth won it at good odds.
One day left this
month and with Money
Factory, all Members had to have a win even though one Bank was
lost. Good luck for today.
Friday April
28th: Another apparent mistake this morning when Ballina was given as
Dead and Queanbeyan Good. It is actually the reverse so we are stuck on
horses losing on a wet track at Queanbeyan but missed out on backing Tabarka
at Ballina which won at $10. The fact is that all the Racing information
comes from one source now so if a mistake is made you won't hear about it
until later. Too late for us.
We're sorry to
say that this sort of thing is out of our control.
This month is
a winning month but the past few days profits have reduced dramatically. Best
Bets are in profit, the Feature
Race is now in profit after Tuesday, Grandslam was making a good profit but lost badly last weekend, Winform
Metros have a good profit as do the Provincial selections but the Country selections have been poor again, although the strike rate is there, the
dividends are not. Well we can't have everything.
There are two
days left in the month so here's hoping we keep our profit and can start
May with a clean slate.
Thursday April
27th: I look up todays betting comparisons for the Rugby
League and what do I find? Betting at the best possible odds on
the Warriors V Canterbury match, I see that you can bet both sides and be
guaranteed a .5% profit. Now that might not be much but taking those odds
you could have another bet when the money comes for one side or the other.
You cannot lose but assume one side comes in to say $1.90. You can then
lay your bet on Betfair or alternatively have a bigger bet on the side that
blows out. I love it when you can't lose.
I have also noticed
that using Money
Factory you can actually bet both teams and make money because the
market is only 3% against you. We already know that the Money
Factory plan gives you in most cases an advantage of about 8% so
it is only a matter of waiting. Your only problem is the lack of action
with onlya dozen or so matches bettable each weekend (you can't bet on matches
that are played at the same time.)
Wednesday April
26th: A great $81 winner yesterday helped our Powerbet users and the Top Two came in at 42%. The singles had a 25% strike rate
yesterday but no longshots in that. Money
Factory is holding it's own with several green screens in the past
few days, nothing big though.
My series of 12 Money
Factorys (I am using 12 columns so a number of bets can be placed
at once, is down a few hundred dollars but that is not a concern as several
banks are operating on profits and some are on a different sequence. We
assume that all banks will eventually return profits. This is the difficulty
with columns. It is less work but it takes a lot longer to reach any conclusions
i.e. clear profits whereas a single column will close a number of series
each week. Provided we don't end up with all the winning bets in one column
and all the losers in another, it must come out equal in the long run.
We are down less
than one unit on our footy tips last weekend which was only our second losing
round. We could have been a little more courageous and backed two more winners
but give it time. Our profit to date is well worthwhile. I have discovered
why the Knights lose when Andrew Johns is not playing. It is Buderus. A great footballer
and a great guy, but when will he learn to shut his mouth on the field?
Saturday night he had the ref offside very early and the team paid the consequences
with every 50/50 call going against them from the point.
In the AFL the Western Bulldogs and Geelong both
played undermanned but put on the best game for a number of years. Geelog
should have won BUT they played to their pre game tactics and refused to
change. In denying the Bulldogs the ball they held up their own play and
it was time that cost them in the end. That said, I will not be surprised
to see these two teams meet again in the Grand Final.
Tuesday April
25th: My Dad was in New Guinea in WW2 but won't be marching today. It
used to be his one day of the year to have a few drinks with his mates but
most of those have gone and Dad is in a walker. It is hard to imagine him
as a teenager, guarding a makeshift runway carved out of the New Guinea
bush with those funny Ausralian made fighter planes amongst the more well
known US aircraft constantly heading off on new sorties day after day. I
recently watched the new movie Kokoda and I can just imagine the conditions.
Today we all have a lot to be thankful for.
That said, today
is a big Racing day, a day for Aussie blokes to have a drink and a gamble
so I never have any reservations about doing the form today. I hope I can
find a few of our older Members a few winners. We need to improve.
Friday April
21st: A good day
today so far for each way punters with Pilferquill paying $5+ the place
amongst the one winner and four placings out of the first five races run.
There are about a dozen single selection bets to go, so plenty more opportunity
to score.
We are all hard
at work today filling envelopes with the April Newsletter. When you look
at our actual results for March in writing in front of you it is amazing
how much we could have won had we known in advance what the profits would
be. That's the trouble. We never know in advance, we can only speculate.
Using that speculation
is the secret of the success of staking programs like Money
Factory. We anticipate that we will eventually get enough winners
to clear our profit goal and most of the time we do except for those damn
unpredictable but inevitable losing runs.
Yesterday I spoke
with Rosemary. She has been betting on Bravo selections for three years now and for the third year in a row is making
a good profit. Rosemary has used Money Factory on these selections, even though it is difficult with
the low strike rate of 17%-18%. Nevertheless with luck the winners, which
average $7-$8 will come in on time and make a fortune some days.
The most important
thing is to have the Bank behind you in the first place.
Tomorrow, Ros
and I will be meeting with David, one of our Professional Members, and then
attending the Geelong Western Bulldogs clash at the Telstra Dome. It is good to see as many live games as possible
when assessing how teams are going, especially when you are betting on them.
On Sunday we will
be in Crown Casino reviewing our strategies and using the Money
Factory technique. Asa consequence, the diary won't be updated again
until Tuesday.
Thursday April
20th: A late afternoon
update: We have had a Bravo winner at $22 on
IAS. Our ratings were off the air this morning but all back on
line now. We did email everyone but a lot of subscribers misplaced their
emergency phone numbers. Please make sure you have these handy for times
like this as we can't always get in touch when there's an outage. I've also
just put up the Sydney Cup Feature race for Saturday. Subscribers will notice
I have personally adjusted the ratings. I do think that horses that did
well in the Melbourne Cup have a good chance here.
At last the WA
provincial came good with a reasonable winner yesterday. Winform
Powerbet players had a spectacular day after being well down early
with about 12 or 13 outs. At Randwick we scored with Proprietor at $44.30,
happy days! Regrettably, Proprietors qualifying run was on a wet track
and so did not meet our stringent requirements for a single selection but
what isnt picked up by one method is picked up by another.
The C plan from Racing
Pays More had a good day with six winning races out of ten. Proprietor
was picked up in our 200% plan from Make
Racing Pay.
We chose our Weekend
Sports Bets yesterday and will have them up for you by 4 p.m.today. TAB
made a goof yesterday when they priced one game wrong. I didnt see
it and we may yet be wrong. Manly was given at $2.20 against the Bulldogs yet $2 was the best price anywhere else. This led to a flurry of bets and
I am sure most of those people will bet back on the Bulldogs to ensure a
guaranteed profit even though it is just 1%.
We will also explain
on the Weekend Sports site how to maximize your wins with multiples. A subscription
to the sports tips is just $99 and we have won every week except one.
Wednesday April
19th: Well somehow we managed to lose all of yesterday's info including
the fact that we had won again on the weekend sports selections. Just take
my word for it!
Money
Factory had a big result yesterday with our third bet of the day
and we are now $800 up for April which is a nice improvement. $400 a week
doesn't seem much but we have to take the good with the bad, it's better
than losing. The flood of winners last Wednesday meant that we are probably
further ahead on level stakes. In the end I still believe that Money
Factory will produce the better result.
My 12 Banks are
flowing nicely but of course while some Banks are already in profit, others
are behind and pull down the overall figure. I regard any drawdowns as simply
a loan awaiting to be repaid with interest later on.
Sunday April
16th: I head to the football today with trepidation. The North
Queensland Cowboys arrived in Newcastle a few days ago and
are going to be well and truly acclimatised by this afternoon when they
try to defeat the Newcastle
Knights. I have tipped the Cowboys with 6.5 start and I do expect
a close game but as Knights supporter I am hopng for a Knights win by less
than 7 points. The game is a sellout.
Our first leg
of the footy tips this weekend was a St
Kilda half time full time double so we are off to a good start.
We need the Western
Bulldogs today. It is a shame that Geelong lost as next Saturday's clash should have been to decide the premiership
front runner.
Racing yesterday
saw us have a good win in the Feature
Race and we were due! Best
Bets have had a slight losing run but we can't make it 56% winners
long term. There had to be a correction. Powerbet and Money
Factory should both have been profitable, Powerbet benefited by some good 2nd rated winners at $20+. Belmonte won for the singles
fo the second time in the last three runs and both at good prices. Good
luck today. After I do the ratings tomorrow I will have my first Easter
break. I'm goin' fishin! Back at work Tuesday though.
Thursday April
13th: The next update will be after Saturday. Liz departed the office
today and Tegan starts Tuesday. Yesterday just got better and better and
my profits bigger and bigger. We did find an anomaly with Money
Factory. The last 184 bets yielded 47 wins and a 27% level stakes
profit. Unfortunately you know that we had a "bust" because of
how the winners fell. Our profit after taking this into account is just
2.3% or $175. What does it prove? Nothing! It is just one of those vagaries
of punting. I was betting level stakes and so made another six thousand
or so yesterday.
From today I have
switched to betting 12 Money
Factory columns and all with a base bet of $14. I will probably
close all 12 columns if I am in front enough in some to cover the losses
in others. The problem is that if we get good winners early I am only betting
one tenth or less of what I was betting for the first week or so. It will
take some months for the turnover to rise enough to make worthwhile profits
but my bets will go on even on days where it is difficult to follow race
to race because they will be bet twelve bets ahead always. I could even
have organised it so that I only bet the first 12 bets of each day as there
is enough action. The game is profit on turnover. The more then turnover
the more the profit.
Wayne was getting
worried at one stage but he SMSed me today to say he collected over $5,000
on our first big winner yesterday. He was not the only one as John French
reported in as well with a big profit. Do you feel sorry for the bookies?
By the way, John say that statistically, last week was our best single selections
day since we started.
Have you looked
at our new Free bets and bonuses page? It will be updated regularly as we
get new offers from the bookies.
Wednesday April
12th: Mindil Beach did us all a big favour when it won at $25.49. I
don't know why IAS did us such a big favour as that was a better price than any of the TABs
and on course the best price was only $15 and that was only at the death.
We also had the Quinella as the 2nd horse was our 2nd rated horse too. The
Exacta paid over $200 and the Trifecta (our 5th rated horse was 3rd) paid
over $1,000. I haven't looked at the figures yet but I'd say the Powerbet and Money
Factory returns would be awesome. I'll let you know tomorrow when
Jenni updates the figures. I do now that I am personally up a few thousand
today!
Tuesday April
11th: I'll be working right through the weekend, it's one of the pitfalls
in this business but it is an opportunity to make good money from the Feature
races. 'Miss Finland' was our fifth rated horse in the Slipper but such
was the market we could have made a nice dutch book. The Best
Bets were sensational last Saturday and the service is worth much
more than a mere $99.
Yesterday was
a good winning day for the winners but because of the prices we finished
only a couple of units in front. I had a few calls about my $8K win but
as I pointed out I am betting as much as $200 a bet level stakes. With Money
Factory the bets levelled off to just a few dollars on Saturday
and our Bank has recovered to be just a few dollars down for the month.
The average bet on Money
Factory is only about $50 on a $3200 Bank. (remember we keep 3 Banks
for safety).
We often get asked
what is the minimum we can use? Well, if you were short, and aren't we all
at times, why not start with three $320 Banks while we learn how it all
works? There is no time limit on this and we do have hundreds of bets each
month if we want to.
Sundy April
9th: Firday was another poor day but I am writing this on Saturday night
and we have had another of those remakable winning days. If only we had
a series of all ups IAS would have trouble paying up.
Not only
did we have great winners but there were a lot of them. Going into the weekend
we were on a 15% strike rate for the week but we got about 40% today. Could
Sunday be good too? Either way I believe we are now in front for April just
like last year. I collected $8K plus today but I suspect many of you did
much much better.
Thursday April
6th: Wow. NRMA assure me they are only waiting for the police report
which will be available Monday. Otherwise everything is normal and my personal
life goes on. No winners today though so perhaps we are going to get all
our winners at Pinjarra. I hope so. Over a very difficult period for the
past two months, Ian called to say he made just $600 profit, hardly enough
to live on but as I explained, we don't know when or where the winners will
fall. If we could just make 10% on turnover, the profit becomes about $6,000
and we are making a comfortable living. It doesn't take much to make the
difference. Again, Ian points out that the two protests we lost in March
were essentially the difference.
Best
Bets is sittting on an astonishing 56% strike rate for this year.
We have a new girl, Jennifer working here, and she can't understand why
we are selling Best
Bets so cheap. I'm beginning to wonder myself. Even more amazing
is the fact that we are giving away the magazine, the Best
Bets AND the Weekend sports tips all for that one $99 price. I must
be nuts!
Anyhow, I had
another client called the other day and he had been paying $11 a day to
call the Hottest Tips line (which is ours) and had made over $3,000 for
the month. He has now subscribed to the Winfrom Gold Premium service at
$1650 for the year which has saved him about $2300 worth of phone calls.
Good luck for today. P.S. Our Golden Slipper strategy is now online for
subscribers.
Wednesday April
5th: Life isn't getting
any better for me with the current issues now including Insurance which
NRMA has "under review" whatever that means. I am leaving the
office to the girls for the moment but will be getting updates and business
goes on as usual.
Yesterday was
a loss for the singles but not if you added the Best
Bets. Ironically, March made a small level stakes profit but a serious
run of outs late in the month left us $1477 short with Money Factory yet
some members missed the drought and finished in front. We include every
single selection although from today we are adding the Best
Bets to the WFP,WFC and WFM selections.
We are continually
upset by inaccurate or misleading track ratings. In Mebourne the "Dead"
track is often inaccurate with almost immediate upgrades but last week Dead
all day. Warwick Farm was "dead" but upgraded and we missed a
$12 winner. It is very hard to be professional when the various Racing authorities
use different guidelines when preparing tracks. We do our best.
Many Members have
asked for upgrade information during the day. We are looking at this possibility
for our Premium Members as there is a cost to us of an extra $100 per day,
weekdays only. Spread over a number of members we may be able to do it starting
in a few weeks where conditions mean varying track conditions become the
norm. We will advise.
Monday April
3rd: My son wrote off his car last night. Not speeding but fell asleep.
The VZ SS Commodore, I can tell you, does not have effective air bags as
none worked but somehow he got out with hardly a scratch. You just have
to believe the big guy up there has something in store.
I hope we score
today but haven't checked. It was hard to concentrate but have got today's
on somehow. I actually hate to miss a Cessnock meeting as we always get
something. Good luck for this week When it goes bad it goes bad. The singles
lost, Money
Factory lost, Grand
Slam lost and Powerbet lost but when they all get going we'll get it all back and more. I have
Haines Hunter 5.3 metre Breeze to prove it. Oh, Best
Bets did win but the Feature
Race eluded us and the Weekend Sports tips made another profit.
Sunday April
2nd: Saturday was the sort of day that is a lesson to us all about getting
too cocky. We have had several good Saturdays in a row but yesterday was
one of the worst with only a few short priced winners. Worried about today?
Well it would be hard not to be but we should go on. The number of winners
and the dividends must always come back if our strategy is any good. I would
have to assume that our profits from March have gone South and so we start
our struggle again but it's an ill wind that blows no one some good
Our Winform Gold
subscribers are having a wonderfull time with good consistent wins right
throughout the year to date. In our April Newsletter in a couple of weeks
we will be releasing our new Winform Gold deal which should make everyone
happy.
To prove that
winnings are sweet I bought a Haines Hunter 530 Breeze yesterday with my
winnings for the year and will stay overnight tonight after the footy. That
reminds me. If you haven't subscribed to our Sports tips for just $99, you
have missed out again. Three winners from 5 matches and another good profit.
That's four winning weeks for the year or 100%.
Friday March
31st: Looking back at the past six months the 2991 selections broke
up into Metro Country and Provincial selections. The Provincial selections
really dragged the chain with only 20% winners and a loss of more than 50
units or $2500 on a $50 bet. Worse still, I had the feeling that the WA
selections are the main cause. Using my GTX database, I have gone back three
years, including the past six months, and have discovered that in fact,
not only have the provincial selections succeeded over that time but the
worst performing state was not WA but Victoria.
Harder still,
I discovered that Victoria had a great place strike rate but was slightly
behind for the win. WA, as it turned out, was one of the best performers.
It is all a mix. Amongst the mix are mini groups of selection e.g. Vic Provincials,
WA country, NSW Metro and so on. In a group of 2991 selections like we have
for the past six months, some of these groups will have sensational strike
rates and dividends and some,like Provincials, will be very poor. What is
revealed however, is that when the lot is mixed together a profit has resulted.
So are we here for the long term or what?
Thursday March
30th: It has taken until the 7th at Cranbourne to score our first single
selection winner for the day. We need more but even though yesterday and
today are slow we have made a good profit for March. John called to say
he was up 37 units for the month. Another Member called to say he was behind.
John is using Sports
Acumen exclusively for his bets and is very happy with the service,
especially some of the prices.
I will shortly
start a new plan i.e. I will use the Money
Factory with columns. I will use 12 columns which is sufficient
for most days. When there are more than 12 bets for the day I can put the
early results in and then put in the remaining bets. The drawback is that
you either use more capital or reduce your bet sizes. Anyhow I will give
it a go. I am going to ask Jennifer to try it out on the last 2991 selections
(since we started the service late September 2005).
Wednesday
March 29th: Our latest Money
Factory report shows $1664 in profits to date. The last 510 single
bets have had 118 winners at 23% at an average of $4.53. This is not quite
as good as we would like compared to our long term average of $5 but even
at level stakes for a $50 bet we would be up $1200. With any luck we will
have another profitable month.
Those Members
who participated in our betting pool promotion last October will be getting
a bonus added to their accounts at IAS or Sports
Acumen by the end of next week. The August betting pool for then New
Members is still struggling but has doubled in the past two weeks.
We have had only one or two distributions from that pool but a profit is
a profit and who's to say? We may get more money out of it yet. We're thinking
of getting a similar promotion just for the Footy. We have won three weeks
in a row with the NRL and with the AFL staring this week we will have a
lot more action.
Personally I am
assessing my position. I have been blindly putting on the singles each day
but compared to Money
Factory and other methods I am not getting those super profits.
When I find the better way I will tell you.
Tuesday March
28th: A $11 winner has boosted us considerably and everyone should be
back in front. David is a bit disappointed though as his $16,000 Money
Factory Bank was proving too much of a burden. He had never lost
a bank in six months of operation but got a fright recently so today he
decided (wisely) to split into three $5,000 Banks. After betting as high
as $900 just a few days, his new base bet of around $16 on the $11 winner
was not overexciting BUT his risk is a lot less and he should never look
back.
Members who bet
through the misery of Sunday have cleared their series too so it's mostly
just a matter of time. From April last year there was a run of six months
without a single bust and we'd love to see that again.
Monday March
27th: Three winners from our first six bets today plus our Best
Bet won (very short but it DID win) . A couple more winners will
ensure that we end March on a profit. I've spent today sailing in my Laser.
I haven't done that since October and rusty doesn't describe it. It's no
more than 10 knots and for now that's my limit I think. With the long term
damage to my neck (revealed by X ray last year) , I can't afford a knock
on my head from the boom. It was fun though and did a lot to ease my pain
from yesterdays loss. Yes, even I feel it on a very bad day even though
I would be at least $50,000 up for the year so far.
With a reasonable
finish to the month, the Members in the October 05 betting pool may even
get a small distribution to add to those they have already had.
Sunday March
26th: Another good Saturday, although we didn't quite make the black
for the week. Powerbet was very good as was Money
Factory. Today I have to scramble to get my bets on as I have a
Marketing meeting at Raffertys Resort. At least there's no more pleasant
place to be on a fine Sunday morning. Good luck for today. Oh! Lessons for
today? Yesterday I backed a couple of horses at best fluctuation. On one
I scored $3 instead of $2.50. At $150 a bet that's a fair improvement in
the dividend. IAS allows best fluc bets up to 40 minutes before the race. That's convenient.
Saturday March
25th: It happened again yesterday. We scored with a $10 winner only
to lose the race on protest, so a good winning day became a bad losing day.
Get over it and get on with it for today. There will be days when the result
goes in our favour. We just hope it will be soon. We lost a Powerbet Bank again yesterday because of the protest so it has been up and down and
up and down.
We can't possibly
get another day today as good as last week but let's have a go anyway. Good
luck.
Friday 24th
March: And I was so busy yesterday that I did neglect to do the update.
Robert advised that he was still doing well with $5373 profit on his Money
Factory for March. Brenton had to bring in a stop loss again in
his new Powerbet series but Darren who bet on through to Albany race 6 made a motza when
our second rated horse won at $48.60!
I have been busy
recruiting extra staff to assist with the magazine which has been a big hit! We still need subscriptions of course so keep them coming in but we now know that the magazine is viable. Yesterday was O.K. for strike rate but all four winners were
in the $2 range. We hope to do better today.
It is later on
Friday and I have just finished speaking to Syd. He is an investment adviser
who handles hundreds of thousands of dollars everyday and carries the burden
of having to get it right. Syd also is obsessed with winning using his own
methods derived from every punting resource he can get. He finally realised
life is far more important. The funny thing is that he knows he can win
by simply using the information he has but he became obsessed with form
and analysis and a short time ago was forced to admit to himself that he
had become totally burnt out. I mention this so that if you at any stage
start to feel trapped, whether that be Racing, Football, the Stock Market,
Sex (seriously) or any other thing then quit before it's too late, before
you lose family and friends and in some cases, your life.
Wednesday 22nd
March: Monday's selections were about square and no winners from yesterdays
three selections. The Money
Factory program after operating for most of March at a loss has
come back to register a profit of $1173 to date. The past 390 bets have
produced 22.8% winners at $4.71 which is now a level stakes profit. Now
before we get comparisons, bear in mind that this is as per our current Money
Factory workout and may not tie in exactly with set dates.
Our new Powerbet series is showing a healthy profit and that is after one series encountered
a stop loss. We have had good feedback from Powerbet users after the weekend. Grandslam is also showing healthy profits for the
year even though we have had many more selections than at this time last
year. From the first Saturday of 2006 when we had one bet for one winner, Grandslam has led the way.
Members who participated
in the IAS promotion would have received there rebates (if they lost during the qualifying
period) last week. We have had one or two queries but so far none of those
was valid. One person failed to have the minimum number of bets required
(ten was the minimum) and one actually made a profit for the period before
having a lossy run immediately after. Most Members were pretty happy NOT
to get a rebate as that meant their punting for the period was profitable.
There have also
been queries about the new Austote set up. Commencing last week all commissions were equalised and set at 7.5%
which compares favorably with the mainland TAB s at a minimum of 16% average. Austote is
in the process of setting up individual rebates, details of which will be
announced in a month or so. Bonuses for internet betting are becoming the
norm and it is all good for the average punter. On average Austote is the best dividend 65% of the time when compared to the other TABs.
Today the Winform
team will be at the Newcastle Newmarket meeting to meet with jockeys, trainers
and broadcasters and bookmakers. I'll be holding the fort.
Monday March
20th: I'm pleased to say that all of you who were worried about how
the single
selections were going are not so worried now. After the last three
days we have not only recovered our situation for March but have hit the
front. The strike rate on Saturday was phenomenal but we knew we would have
a day like that as the previous 100 or so selections had produced only 17%
winners. I don't remember ever having better than 40% Winners from 40 selections?
Powerbet users won, Grand Slam users won, Money
Factory users won, Ratings users won and even our Weekend Footy
selections were on fire with four from 6 and a 40% Profit. Remember our
current Magazine
subscription includes; Best
Bets, Weekend Feature Race, Weekend Sports Tips and the Winform
Newsletter. Where would you get a better deal for $99?
I was away at
the weekend. I went to Canberra to watch the Newcastle Knights record only
their second victory against the Raiders at home in 18 years and what a
win. The Knights scored 12 tries including one set of four tries in seven
minutes. It was a long tiring drive there and back but worth it.
I hate to admit
it but our Weekend
Feature race lost but never mind, we can't hope to compete with
last week's 'Roman Arch' victory. While I didn't specify the horse it was
clearly 2nd rated and anyone looking at the odds would have to take it.
Our phone in Members all backed it as Prue, who is putting her own view
on things told everyone to back the Top Two.
We now ONLY
HAVE 5 FREE $50 BETS AVAILABLE!
so get in quick! Look at page. 58 of Horse
Racing Australia Magazine where you can copy the request form and
fax it to: (02) 4951 7364 or email direct@hunterlink.net.au with the necessary details.
Friday March
17th: Is today St Patricks Day? I need a little bit of the luck
of the Irish, although yesterday was a winning day. To date for this month
we are down nearly 30 units. I did note that our Winform Gold service (see
the Newsletter in the next few days) is on a 75% strike rate and good profit
not only for this month but for the year. As well as providing this on subscription
for a light extra cost ($155 per quarter extra on the everyday rate) it
is also is available on the 1902 210 680 number at $11 after 10.30 daily.
We did get
a good priced winner yesterday too but once again WA let us down.
I am begining to think the WA provincials are too hard a nut to crack but
you know as soon as we go off them they will start to shine.
The Powerbet plan made another profit yesterday and some of the people who have commenced
using Powerbet for the first time are doing well. The test will come the first time they
have to incorporate a stop loss. It is so difficult accepting that sometimes
it is better to quit and start again than to persist.
Is it better to
bet in a race where the Top Two horses are both at around $3 where we are
betting for a minimla profit or should we leave the race knowing that in
all likelyhood we may have simply extended our losing run? It's a hard question
for which we may not even know the correct answer.
The weekend sports
selections are up and we have ten $50 bets to give away today. Last week
we made 75% profit. Not bad for our first week of this year. All subscribers
to weekend sports get a free sub to the magazine and vice versa. Simply
click on the bookshop on the bar to the left.
Thursday March
16th: It might look like I'm skipping Wednesday but actually I am doing
both days on Wednesday night. Brenton Burford busted a Bank last week and
has not resumed Money
Factory as yet. He has instead resumed the Powerbet Plan which is featured in Punting In The New Millenium. Overall the Money
Factory is still a success and the plan made great profits last
weekend. Then Powerbet Plan made a profit today.
It is a shame,
but when we looked at the singles the strike rate has been right on the
22% we expect but we just haven't got the longshots home and there was another
2nd at $34 on Tuesday. Our Members betting level stakes are not doing well
but those who stuck to Money
Factory continue to stand in front.
On Wednesday night
we had a "celebrate the Roman Arch Quaddie" result, then
speak of the devil, one of our regular clients sat down right next to us
with his family. Anthony leaned over and said "Roman Arch?"
I said "Yes and I suppose you are here too because of him?"
He replied; "I looked really hard at 'Roman Arch' but I just
couldn't bring myself to back it. We're here because our horse won in Sydney
today, admittedly at $3.90." Onya Anthony!
There are no get
rich quick solutions, it is a slow grind with the occasioanl highlight.
Let the highlight come soon. It seems like our luck has gone backward since
that protest against our $19 winner got up. For many it was the last straw.
For those who
registered, IAS will fund your account with 33% of any losses on Thursday.
It was a generous promotion and thanks to all those who participated. I
am hoping to talk them into doing it again later in the year.
"Please
can we have a good winner today?"
Tuesday March
14th: I have received a query from Roger Coote who was disappointed
with the top fluctuation bet he placed on 'Roman Arch' on Saturday. He expected
to receive the $151 which IASbet
on Friday and at some stage Saturday. Betting top fluctuation you get the
Official top fluctuation from the track. This ensures that everybody gets
the same. IAS often offers much better prices than this on the website but the prices
on the Internet is not the same prices you get over the phone where it depends
on how much you want to bet. Quite often you can get more than the Internet
price and sometimes less.
On Saturday I
tried to get a price to match their internet price but IAS would not do this. I was able to get my price from an opposition business.
It's no different to going to Coles for the specials and Woolies or Safeway
from your regular stuff, or the other way round. So what is my view? Don't
complain, learn what the betting rules are as they are different for each
organisation, and play to the rules as best you can for your own benefit.
If you don't have
time to muck around then just take Superprice if it's a longshot or top
fluctuation if it's expected to be amongst the favourites, that way you
will end up with a fair average.
Saturday, I was
so convinced that 'On A Jeune' could do somehting that I hunted around everywhere
to get the best price possible. I ended up with as much as 70/1 each way
which is nearly twice the best price bet.
Yesterday was
a good result and we needed it, today is poor so far. We really need another
block buster!
Monday March
13th: Did I forget to mention the incredibly good offer from IAS?
Bet $100 on your favourite for the NRL or AFL premierships and you get a
Free $50 bet on the Golden Slipper.
I thought I would
start with the good news. Bad news is that yesterday was a blot on our copybook
with five short priced winners for the day. Bravo was a profit and the Sports
Betting made us 75% profit and I believe we should have got Souths with
the start had not Adrian Morley intervened.
Our singles have
been going bad for a week or more, even with that $26 shot which made over
$1,000 for our Money
Factory series. For March to date we are actually down $658 which
I must admit we can live with.
We had an abusive
phone call today because I didn't recommend 'Roman Arch'. The conversation
went something like "how could we possibly select On A Jeune etc. etc."
Anyone on the website could have seen for themselves that 'Roman Arch' was
our second rated horse and a good bet at the $90 plus that was available
and I do know that many of our Members backed it.
Sunday March
12th: And weren't we glad to see that $26 winner at Ascot? The winners
finally started tom arrive Friday and the again Saturday but where were
the long shots? And did you see 'Roman Arch'. It was second rated by Winform
and paid $91 but I was so sure that 'On A Jeune' could do something all
my cash was on this horse each way but I did do something unique.
I took a quaddie
with my son Mathew (you may have seen his article in a couple of my books.
Mat does do things differently so we agreed to include his horses in as
well as Winform's. Thank goodness because we did get the $59,000 (NSW) Quaddie.
You may remember that just a month ago we had a $315,500 Quaddie although
on that occasion I hadn't taken it. Saturday's was taken solely because
bothopur top two horse were both at longshot odds.
Here's another
odd spot. We would hav got the Newmarket Trifecta and First Four as well
as the Australian Cup quinella which paid $720.40.
Friday
March 10th: And yesterday we laid to rest Charlie Philcox and I'm pleased
to say a number of Winform Members were there and we thank you for your
support.
Today you can
find our Weekend Sports tips on line and we have three or four solid bets.
Last year we did well with about 56% winning selections at prices from $1.90
(at the line) to over $4 and that's not bad for what is after all, a two
horse race. Money
Factory works well on those figures but so too does Parlay
Magic. A Yankee is available on IAS whcih covers 11 bets over four events. Minimum investment on the Internet
is $1($11 total) and by phone $5 ($55 total). Another good bet is the Patent
which costs just $7. In this bet you have $1 on each event plus three doubles
and one treble. I take these for $50 (all up $350) and have had returns
up to $7,000.
The selecions
since Monday have been ordinary to say the least and we are many units down
so do expect a correction over today and the weekend. The Money
Factory's latest strategy has also been in a little trouble but
has been saved by some excellent each way dividends. On Wednesday, in successive
Metro races we had a $19 winner lose on protest and then a $12 selection
lead all the way to be run down by a sht half head on the post.
On another note,
subscriptions for Horse
Racing Australia Magazine have been pouring in and it is now very
close to being a viable proposition for the future. We have had many kind
remarks and most are very pleased with the content which has something for
everyone. The June Edition will feature another Free System for all of our
system nuts and an extended Trifecta section for those of you who have an
interest in the exotics.
We have single
copies of the magazine for sale via the Bookshop and all future issues will be available this way too. The magazine is in
only a limited number of newsagents so direct subscription is the best way.
From today we are offering a magazine only subscription at a cost of $40
for four issues to cover cost of postage etc. It is one way to make sure
you don't miss out.
Tuesday
March 7th: Garry is away today but we thought
that we would give you an update on how Money
Factory is going.
Money
Factory Results at the moment:
No Bets: 77
No wins: 20
Strike Rate: 26%
Avg Div: $5.33
Profit: $1888.55
ROI% 48.40.
(Thanks- Liz)
Sunday March
5th: Agua Corriende
at $16.40
IAS suited me and it enabled me to close off my Money
Factory series at $416 for Saturday only. Unfortunately, on level
stakes we ended up behind yesterday but boy! Weren't there some close photos?
Powerbet should have been O.K. but it has been a frustrating week. Let's
hope we have a good one starting today.
Friday March
3rd: In a way I did get my birthday wish yesterday with three winners
from just four selections and all at good prices. Money
Factory can't stop winning since our bad few days. You can see why
we apply a stop loss at times.
On a sadder note
I know that many readers have attended our week long seminars at Raffertys and would have listened to Charlie Philcox talking passionately about his
punting and how coming to the Seminar that first time changed his thinking.
That was in 1996. Charlie and I became firm friends and eventually went
to all Knights home games together until he was found to have lung cancer
two years ago and he beat it after having one lung removed. Unfortunately,
Charlie died of a heart attack on Tuesday and his funeral is in Newcastle
next Thursday.
I have found that
I can afford to lose money but I can't afford to lose friends. I know many
of our regulars will miss Charlie.
Thursday March
2nd: It's a pity my 59th birthday is tomorrow as I really would like
a few winners today. Yesterday was a good winning day with three winners
at $4.80, $6.30 and $6.35. Our bad run at the WA provincials continued with
zero winners from five races at Bunbury. Let's just hope it's a passing
phase. Our last 631 selections have arrived at a 21.6% strike rate but average
dividend is only $4.43 and our loss for the month is 27 units on our total
Bank required of 150 so certainly not desperate and it confirms our ninth
losing month in 48. We busted a Money
Factory Bank and ended up with -$3126 for the month compared to
level stakes - $1350. Remember January was plus $10.9k Money
Factory and +3.7 level stakes.
I know that not
everybody would get the same result. We record every bet given out including
the update for night meetings and WA and we include selections even when
trcak conditions change so the above is worst case scenario wa\rts and all.
Subcribers who only bet selected days or selected meetings and who actively
seek better prices via top fluctuation etc. could well have a different
result.
Darren advised
me that he DOES NOT BET on any selection that is paying less than $2.80
five minutes before the jump. He says that it has made a dramatic improvement
to his profits even though his strike rate is obviously going to be less.
Brenton has a
similar rule plus some others but his strike rate is 25.7% for February
(see the magazine for some basic rules he applies).
The response to
the new Horse
Racing Australia magazine has been terrific, although some thousand
or so remain to be delivered. We still have plenty of FREE bets available
so send those coupons in. Photo copies are allowed, we know that many of
you are collectors and appreciate this First
Edition will have some value one day although I don't plan to die
soon to make it so.
Wednesday March
1st: The bad news is that we have had a horrible run over the past few
days and Brenton has dropped a Bank. To add insult to injury, because there
is no broadcast of NSW country racing in South Australia a $3,000 payout
was missed. The bottom line? A loss of $135 for February instead of a profit
of $3,000. I don't think any of our Members could have avoided a bad run
which has persisted since last Sunday. It might be just as well that I was
committed elsewhere. I just hope March will be a better month for us.
Today I had the
pleasure of the company of Andrew and Geoff who dropped into the office
from Jervis Bay. Their quest was to decide between Money
Factory and Powerbet and Powerbet won the day. The fact that it won more today may have had a little influence.
A good priced winner using Powerbet does provide some windfall results and user find this feature exciting as
opposed to Money
Factory which probably requires more discipline and skill.
Anyhow, good punting
for the rest of the week.
Monday February
27th: Hi Everyone, Garry has asked me to submit this today on his behalf
for the benefit of Money
Factory Users, who are having difficulty with the closeness and
timing of races on days such as 'Saturday'. We have had a number of queries
on how to cope with the situation when races are close or delayed etc. The
system isn't perfect but here are Garry's guidelines. Oh yeah, Garry asked
us to advise that he closed his Money
Factory on Saturday with $4115 profit! (That's $4500+ for the week).
Here's my
process:
I look at the expected dividends 6 minutes out and on a work pad in front
of me. I work out the bets (if dutch). I then place the bets at what I believe
will be the best
prices, and although I missed best odds twice out of 9 races on
Saturday. You can open up two extra columns in Money
Factory if you need to look at possible dutch
bets in future races then delete the race later.
If my race is
a winner, I am on without having to alter anything, I just post the expected
dividends then enter the next races calculations, which I have written previously
on the pad. If a loser, I try to get the extra money on in the same ratio,
better to be on than miss a winning race.
Waiting until
the last minute can get you better
odds but it can also cost you getting on.
The point that
I am trying to prove is that it doesn't matter what the circumstances are,
when you have a bulk number of races, the strike rate should be the same
and therefore your result will be the same over time.
P.S. My series to date
has produced only 40% wins, way below expectations.
The singles have a place strike of 50%+, we know 100% C
plan is 45% and really the dutching should be 50% or near enough to. I am betting less horses, though because
I used to use the TAB prices and now I use fixed which aims to win more when the TAB
price exceeds the price I put on at. My future performance should
be bigger and better.
Oh. Hope all the
subscribers put a bet on 'New Talent' on Saturday. IASBet (now SportsBet)
Racing Betting generously paid $19.65 on this horse. Amazing! (Thanks
Again Prue).
Saturday February
25th: I usually don't update Saturdays but I will probably be off the
air until Tuesday. Yesterday I bet until 6 p.m. and my last bet was one
of our single
selections Montcalm Magic at $11 on course but only $7 plus with
most TABs and that includes corporates. It makes me beleive that many of
our subscribers are "quite stupidly" still throwing their money
in the TAB pools. Don't they realise that this affects not only their own dividends
but also the dividends of all of us. Imagine just one $100 bet. The difference
is $350! I can tell you that over $20,000 was invested through the TAB on that horse but the on course bookies had a virtual skinner.
Members who bet
at the $11 (available at Sports
Acumen among others) not only cleared their Money
Factory banks but also made a huge profit to the extent that February
could now end up making another profit as it is only $200 or so down.
Brenton bet on
untill just after 6 p.m. and cleared his Money
Factory Bank on the multi bet scheme we discussed earlier in the
month to be up about $1000 for the week with tomorrow to go. My own bank
is still down although not as much as at the start of yesterday. I can't
bet for long this afternoon due to family commitments (it's my sister's
50th) and may resume tomorrow.
I did hear from
two new subscibers that they had made profits of $3,000 and $4,000 for February
on the single
selections but both of them were lucky in that they missed a couple
of bad betting days. In then long run we will all end up the same but short
time it can go either way.
Friday February
24th: Today better be good. Using our Money
Factory plan I am currently -$2210 on a $10,000 Bank. Once again,
my last bet was just after 5 p.m. and there were at least two more winners.
Brenton was on these so he is in a better position than I. My Bank needs
wins of a value of 10 points in the next seven bets to clear the currrent
series which is on a low of 34% returns, compared to our usual 50%. With
53 races to be run today I dont see any problems coming to a conclusion
one way or the other.
Our single
selections are 43 points down for the current month on a 150 unit
Bank. This will be the ninth losing month in the last 48 or so. You cant
win all the time. So why are we down this month? Our projected strike rate
is 22.3% and for the month to date we are on close to 20%. Our long term
average dividend is better than $5 but for this month we are on only about
$4 and there's the difference, a shortage of longshots. We all know though,
that they do come along, at times with monotonous regularity but this month
I think, about $11 was the best. The month has been a lesson in "hangin'
in there.
Thursday February
23rd: It's pouring down and I have arrived at 10.38 after attending
the Mannering Park office after dropping off a shipment of magazines that went astray. I see that the form for the Winter
Olympics was off with Alicia Camplin getting a bronze after entering
the final in 14th place. Hope you had an each way bet.
As a punter I
see the $3 about Toby in Dancing
With The Stars as a good bet. Simone Warne danced terribly on the first
night and is favourite to go home early but I reckon public sympathy will
keep her in there so don't take the $3.25 about her going. Instead Kate?
Is it Kate? She's bloody awful and stirs everybody up. Who would vote for
her?? A good bet to go next week.
O.K. forgot the
horses for a minute. At Murray Bridge yesterday the commentator got it all
wrong when he nominated our top rated horse as the winner. Most of us would
have already got our next lot of bets on so what to do when we find out
that he has called it wrong and we have lost instead of won?? In the current
series write down your actual upcoming bets and the prices then "delete
current bet". When you have done that click "edit current bet"
and re- enter the correct result. The program will adjust so when you re-enter
the current race details you need to adjust the total outlay (because you
have probably bet less on the new race than the program now shows).
My current Money
Factory series, which I had to leave at 5 yesterday si down $750.
I am using a $10,000 Bank for this one. Brenton's series is differnet beacuse
he is using a much smaller bank and also he bet on for another hour and
got three more winning races. I have also noticed he does things differently
to me. He got $34 fixed about a $21 winner yesterday and I got $22. He believed
the odds were too good to resist and I missed the price. Also, in one race
I backed the top rated (favoured horse) and saved on the second rated at
the longer price while he did the opposite. In another race I bet the favourite
and didn't try to save at all (it was top rated) and he skipped the race
because he wanted to back bot the top two but the value was too poor to
do this.
You can see how Money
Factory is flexible enough that both of us are in profit for the
week.
Can
I plug our new magazine? Click
here to subscribe......
Wednesday February
22nd: We are in trouble. All of our magazines were delivered here and
so I have been stuffing around trying to get them out. The result? I am
driving to Sydney tonight to drop off the magazines for Laurel
Oak Members and I've been loading magazines here there and everywhere for each delivery point. With 15,000 magazines
to go out it is a lot of hard work so I hope you all like it.
Also today I have
been working Money
Factory and have made $400 plus between yesterday and today. The single
selections just coudln't get home yesterday and we are not any better
off today with three short priced winners. Maybe later. I'll be updating
quite late tomorrow as I will be returning from Sydney. Good luck for now.
Tuesday February
21st: Yesterday was mmorable for two reasons the first of course, is
the success of the single selections. There were 5 winners from 14 selections
including a nice $11 winner, the Best
Bets had two from three and Bravo had one from one.
The other occasion
was the lunchtime party to celebrate the First Issue in hard copy of our Horse
Racing Australia magazine. The first issue is
being distributed FREE to all our Members and we expect a strong
take up of subscriptions (it cost us about $50,000 to produce each issue).
The magazine is issued four times per year and contains a Free system, helpful
articles for all who punt and in this first edition, an eight page bonus
Sports betting supplement including The
World Cup Soccer. The June issue will include Greyhounds and we
also hope to be able to include coverage of Trotting and Pacing.
Let's hope the
rest of the week is as good as the start.
Monday 20th
February: A small loss yesterday with just 4 winners from 33 bets which
takes away from our win on Saturday. One of our Professional clients bets
each day until he makes a worthwhile profit. He won yesterday usig Money
Factory. With a base bet of just $15 and four winners from the first
24 bets his profit was $384 and his average bet just on $46, so we're not
talking mammoth risks here. He has made regular profits for quite some time
but his philosophy is that if he can make a few hundred, especially if it's
early on, then he can then relax in his vege garden for the rest of the
day.
Sunday Febrary
19th: There were a number of good winners from the Single
Selections on Saturday and it was a winning day. Brenton increased
his winnings again to a total of $1744 for the week. Grandslam had a very poor day with just one odds on winner from seven selections.
You can't have winners every day. Our
Feature race was a total failure and the first losing one for five
weeks.
My daughter and
son in law found out yesterday just how difficult it is to build that first
home. Since we built just four years ago, site cots have risen from less
than $6,000 to $18,000. The new laws in NSW since July 1st last year have
added another $30-$50 thousand ( the higher end in "bushy" areas
for fire protection). They've asked me to let them know the next time we
can pick a $315,000 Quadrella so they can get on. They also suggested they
might need to win Lotto, excpet that these days it would take more than
a lotto win to build in Sydney.
With Brenton making
around $1500 a week tax free, I would suggest it is possible for someone
totally disciplined and focussed, to build a sizeable chunk of cash in a
relatively short time. A weekend usually has 18 meetings or around 140 races
compared to Monday to Friday 150. You could work all week and still make
a few hundred Saturday/Sunday. Hard work? Sure, but at 22 I was punting,
working three jobs and owned a block of land. In two years I also had a
new house and was paying it off. A lifetime of working hard means that I
may not ever be able to "retire" i.e. "veg out". Maybe
that's a good thing.
Saturday February
18th: I did indeed return yesterday at 3.40, a few minutes too late
to back a winner. For four hours yesterday and less than two hours today
(Friday) I bet in 29 races in all with a mix of each way, Plan
C, from Racing Pays More and dutch
betting. I got a return in only 8 races and remember, some of these
returns were just a place where I only got part of my bet back and others
were saver bets where I only got my stake back. At the end of the day Friday
I was $211 in front. Brenton bet from 1 p.m. and finished a race before
I did. His bets were smaller than mine because he was picking up winners
that I missed in the first two hours of betting on Friday, nevertheless
he won just over $400 for the two days. His profit on the new method is
now $3960 with Saturday to go to make the three week mark.
I wont be operating
today, although I will have my single bets on. My day is being spent with
my daughter and son in law who are looking for a house to build. I honestly
dont know where they will get the money to pay for it even though I have
been able to give them the deposit from my winnings.
Friday February
17th: Yesterday I ran my own Money
Factory and lost $1313 so far. Brenton Burford also ran his Money
Factory but lost less than half of that. I quit at 5.15 p.m. and
bet the remaining single selections only. Brenton bet Ipswich Race 7 where
we selected a $17 winner in our Top Two. You can see how different people
using the same strategy, can get different results. Brenton is in South
Ausrtalia so while I had finished, in his time zone he was still going.
Today I am a guest at a Sportsmans' Lunch and so will not be able to look
at anything until at least 3.30. Brenton will start with the first race.
We will both win at some point although there is always the risk that one
of us will lose a Bank simply because of the timing. There is also the possibilty
that because I am further behind and thus betting bigger bets that a longshot
will make me a bonus payoff.
The truth is that
you simply can't afford to be paranoid about it. The method we are using
is averaging 50% strike rate at an average payoff of $2.07, a small level
stakes profit. The Money
Factory process has turned that into a profit on turnover of 15.7%
and over $3,500 after two weeks and four days with the big day Saturday
to come up.
Thursday February
16th: Another winning day all round yesterday and the Money
Factory we are running with the new strategy has now made $3500
in two and a half weeks. The very worst run saw our Bank drop 30% so no
worries at all and this, as regualrs know, is during what has been a very
soft period for us.
Brad just called
from W.A. to advise that since he upgraded his subscription to Winform
Gold, he has noticed a much improved strike rate. The Gold service costs only about an extra $20 per week but includes Winform
Gold, the SE and SES selections as well as Winform
Winners and Specials. We also have an experimental section which
includes at the moment Jockey selections where we look for only the best
bets with the best qualified riders.
We've noticed
that the readership of this section has increased by over 50% since January
so please feel free to email
us your experiences as there are many other punters out there anxious
to hear what you have to say. We got correspondence this morning from Charles
who wanted to let us know that he anchored our two Feature Race selections
with his choices for 2nd and 3rd and got the Trifecta. Needless to say ,
Charles is happy with the service.
From today I am
running my own Money
Factory Bank in between phone calls and other obligations I have.
I hope to be able to prove that it doesn't matter if you miss races or even
whole days, you can still win with the overall approach. My overall profit
will be less simply because you make more money the more you turnover and
I will be turning over a lot less. I wont be staying back after 5 o'clock
just to place bets either. Instead I will be going home to take my son's
and daughter's dogs for a walk and then have a relaxing evening with dinner,
a couple of current affairs shows and maybe one of the better offerings
on TV before reading another chapter of the latest Harlen Corben mystery.
By the way, I started reading Corben a few years ago when I bouthg some
of his books from a 3 for $10 pile. Now he's sold a few you have to pay
$35 a hit. They're still good stories though and while the punt is paying
I can certainly afford it.
Wednesday February
15th: Well they loved our selections on Valentines Day with six winners
from 16 bets for the Single
Selections and for the Powerbet users there were some bountiful winners too! Life is sweet when it all comes
together.
As I've explained
before, there are more profits to be had by simply making sure you get the
best possible price. As you know I am taking a couple of days off to do
maintenance at our Mannering Park office. I therefore could not wait to
see prices. Instead I used the IASBet (now SportsBet)
Horse Racing and Sports Betting top fluctuation service for our
bets at Wangaratta where I believed our horse would start favourite or near
favourite. I didn't go the whole way though, instead I bet half my stake
at best fluctuation and half at Ias Super
price. In two instances the best fluctuation price was more than
half a point better so on average I was ahead.
Similar situations
occur in every race we look at in real time and this is why some Members
query the prices we get. While watching the live market on IASBet (now SportsBet)
Horse Racing and Sports Betting we might see a fixed price of $5
and the TAB is currently paying $4. Clearly the fixed price is the better option however
sometimes the prices are a lot closer than this at say $5 and $4.50. In
this case I take half the bet at fixed and half Super.
This way if the TAB price drifts to say $6, at least I have half my money at the better price
and my average is better than taking a risk on just one or the other.
The good thing
is that you can place these two bets virtually together by simply ticking
the two boxes with your bet. They are two bets but at IASBet (now SportsBet)
Horse Racing and Sports Betting they are in one group if you know
what I mean. Other online bookmakers need you to place a fixed price first
then come back for the second bet and that can take precious time when races
are close.
A half point difference
on every winner could become a mammoth profit by year's end.
Tuesday 14th
February: On Sunday a Money
Factory bust happened courtesy of Southern Air. That leaves us well
behind for the month to date but still a long way ahead overall. We did
have 8 or 9 busts last year but still cleared $60,000 profit. Remember we
did win $10k+ in January.
Monday was a winning
day with only five bets but two winners.
Monday 13th
February: The weekend was not good but I am sure Money
Factory once again kept us in the hunt. Did you notice that our
selections The Lanz nearly did it again for us? He finished second and paying
$5 for the place. A win would have put us in front for the month like in
January. The Best
Bets and Feature
race were once again successful, extending our winning run woth
this incredibly cheap service (only
$99 per year). We have only 263 subscribers to this service and
we simply can't understand the reluctance of some people to take it up.
Of course our current Ratings subscribers get this service for no extra
charge.
Brenton Burford
has now made $2696 for the new plan after just two weeks and his single
selection plan with his amendments has made $2601 in the last four weeks.
The reason less money is made is that only one third of the bets are placed
and so even though profit on turnover is higher, the actual amount is less.
Once this plan has proven itself, a much larger Bank can be used to boost
profits or profits can be added to the bank which in itself will feed on
itself.
Sunday 12th
February: Today I am taking my Dad and Mum out of the Hostel for a seafood
dinner. Can you believe we are catching up on Christmas and my Dad's birthday
from New Year? They were busy with other family members over Christmas and
then there was an outbreak of a virus at the hostel which meant visitors
were not allowed in. This is actually my first relatively free weekend since
although I am working this morning as usual. I can't remember my last whole
day off but it may have been around Christmas. I am actually not going back
to work officially until Thursday but between you and me I will be spending
the next few days a) doing ground maintenance at our Mannering Park offices
b) doing computer maintenance on our systems out there c) writing some new
articles and d) putting on my bets as usual and some people think that the
life of a professional punter is so free and easy.
On Friday night
I worked at The Gardens which is Australia's newest Greyhound facility.
We have pictures and an interview with broadcaster John McDermott and a
story on greyhounds generally but that's coming up.
Anyhow, yesterday
we saw the benefit of taking the noon update as one of our Grandslam selections
was replaced by the next rated horse which also qualified and it was the
winner that put us in front for the day. Also on the update were some Gold
Coast selections, missed earlier because the scratchings were late.
Our new Money
Factory workout only made $1,000 this week, down 50% from last week but
a good profit under the circumstances as it has not been our best week.
Friday 10th
February : At last I've been able to verify our figures for the period
January 25th to February 9th and I can tell you that in spite of our loss
of one Money
Factory Bank we are $803 in front for the period. Okay, that's a
lot of work for not much money but it is better than losing and it is on
top of the money we had won up to that point for January. For the record
we had 275 bets for 62 winners at better than $5 and yes I know that level
stakes over that same period made a better profit. It's all in where the
winners fall.
My new strategy
is working well with only $230 profit so far this week to follow the $1664
last week but considering we have not had a lot of winners up till Thursday,
the fact that we are in profit says a lot for the strategy. Moonee Valley
is rated as Dead tonight and it is a pity as we have not had a lot of luck
there lately and some would say we are "due". With a dutch betting
strategy being the only option it could be worth a go.
Our Feature race
tomorrow is an interesting one in that if the trcak is rain affected our
top two selections may well turn around in the ratings. Either way, one
of them should win to give us a fourth Feature race win in a row. To subscribe
to the Weekend Feature race and Best Bets package simply go to the Winform
Bookshop or call (02) 49501747 with your credit card details.
Thursday February
9th: You might have noticed a few more typo's recently and some people
wold say "well that's a bit unprofessional" but hey! I'm only
human and I'm just tryng to keep you up to date and we've been so busy lately
the girls haven't had time to reformat my notes.
A losing day yesterday
with just one more winner after Camp Calani but Brenton reports that the Money
Factory we are running on my new strategy (see previosu entries)
is now over $2,000 up for the month and that's on a relatively small Bank
(abt $4K). Of course you could run one for as little as $400 and the result
of +50% would be the same.
Brenton is also
running another Money
Factory based on win only and and making his own eliminations. This
has resulted in a slightly higher strike rate and is up about $1500 but
there are far fewer bets. I'm sure there are plenty of subscribers doing
something similar.
Wednesday February
8th: We are having a hard day today. Yesterday ended up with a good
$7 winner with IAS. The TABs only paid $5 -$5.50 although Austote paid $7
as well. Today is desperate so far although Powerbet users would have been beside themselves with a $14 winner early on. Still
it's early days yet. Whoa! As I write Camp Calani has just won at $6.50!!
I did hear from
one member who has been following the strategy we recommended mid last year
and that was using Money
Factory each way with our single selections. He told me he had not
lost his first bank yet. He is also using a top rated Money
Factory Bank for the win and has had only one loss and that was
late December. Thanks for the info Paul.
The IAS special
offer is getting the response we expected. Well, how could it not, it is
so good. Don't foret, once you've registered you can start betting straight
away and remember, you now have the advantage so try out those special strategies
knowing that if it falls apart you will still get all that extra cash.
It's amazing how
little you need to do to get a Money Factory in front! Every little
helps.
Tuesday February
7th: and things are a lot more cheerful at home now that Desperate Housewives
has started again. For me it'll be the footy. A level stakes loss yesterday
but not much. The Money Factory made a profit again and several other strategies
are working. There was a good second rated horse win yesterday which helped Powerbet users.
We are working
on our new version of the Newsletter which will be posted late February.
It is fantastic, well we think so anyway. In the meantime a lot of peoeple
have receiced the info from IAS and are delighted with it.
Okay, lots of
work to ctach up on and bets to place. Today could be good. Just missed
by a lip at $7
Monday February
6th: Bravo won again yesterday. There was only one selection Saturday
and one Sunday and both won although Boy John had to withstand a protest.
Plenty of single selections yesterday and several winners but the lack of
any big dividends meant we have started the week off with a loss. Sale was
upgraded and I found five selections there but all lost.
Dave Lingard lives
in an idyllic locale and spends a lot of his time on the water. He uses
the Countdown To Profits staking plan which is in my book Professional Staking
and Money Management and to date swears by it. It is difficult to lose with
this plan which requires $316 for each dollar. Bets start at $1 and max
out at $25 and it is an ideal plan for punters who want to take on any selection
plan tyat can find the ocassional $6 or $7 winner. Of course with the Winform
singles you get the occasional $30, $40 and $50 winner and that makes it
even better. Chances of losing with this plan are 1000/1 against.
A reminder that
the Winform Newsletter wont be sent until late February.
All of our contacts
have been sent a letter outlining a very special offer we have negotiated
with IAS. On that invitation will be a unique website address where you
can apply. IAS don't really want the world to know about the offer. We reckon
if everyone got it IAS would go broke in a month. It really is unique and
special. If you have somehow missed out on receiving it by Friday then you
can email us at winform@hunterlink.net.au.net.au
and we will send it out to you.
The special method
I outlined to you in the Diary last week has made $1664 for the week ending
Saturday.
Sunday February
5th: We had to wonder what was going on on Saturday when our first five
single selections won in a row. If you count the two Best Bets as well that
is SEVEN IN A ROW and a $100 bet was $1700 up. Naturally the Money
Factory moved into profit, as did Powerbet and the only drama is
that the next few bets were all at the lowest level. This picked up later
though, as there was a disappointing run of seonds, some quite close, and
then two successive winners at Ascot, Cat In The Hat $8 and Fleeting Angel
$3.60 rounded out the night.
As I have the
GTX program, I was able to pick up some extra bets at Flemington when the
track was upgraded to good and found one extra winner from the three, Biscayne
Bay at $8. This is one advantage of having the program. Grandslam had a
large number of bets today compared to expected and Bravo had one bet for
one $6.30 winner. Flyers missed the mark with no winners from seven yesterday.
The day was good
but the week was poor. Let's hope we can kickstart the week today with a
couple of longshots.
Friday February
3rd: What do you want first, the bad news or the bad news because that's
all there was yesterday. We ost our first Mney Factory Bank for the year
but stll $7800 up. The loss was $3101 and at hat point you have to be prepared
to let go and start again. The strike rate wasn't such a disaster, about
17% but the average dividend of just $3 was. Our first runner yesterday
placed at $11+ and a win would have given us a $4,000 profit. Those Members
using the each way plan are probabaly going O.K. I've stuck to win simply
because everything happens faster i.e. win more/ lose more perhaps but overall
the profit on turnover is greater.
I started a Bank
on Monday fo the strategy I suggested last week i.e. singles each way or
if no single selection the C Plan from Racing Pays More and if no C plan
then dutch bet the top two three or four runnesr if you can make 100%. This
plan has made $984 for the week so far on a $4000 Bank. We also didn't bet
late, you have to have some life, so bettng stopped around 6 p.m.
Thursday February
2nd: It seems IAS shares are fluctuating in line wih the results we
are getting. A good winning weekend to Winform clients saw IAS shares drop
but then with three successive days of losses by our clients, the shares
have gone up. Today we are due for a catch up again so perhaps we will see
movement again tomorrow but I'm not a share adviser and this is not investment
advice.
Our Money Factory
workout for February is at -$1500 so plenty of cash left to recover. One
selection yesterday ran third and paid $11.10 just for the place. A win
would have left us sitting pretty. They do win sometimes. Those Members
operating their Money Factory program by simply betting the top three to
make 100% have done O.K. and there was one winner yesterday at 50/1 that
made the Powerbet people very happy.
The IAS special
offer has been posted out. The offer commences Monday February the 6th and
is available ONLY by going to the website disclosed to recipients.
Wednesday February
1st: and another new month. January has been successful and I guess
our Members betting at IAS last Saturday must have had an effect. IAS shares
are still strong but in the past two days have lost ground. Welll on the
basis of our betting Monday and Tuesday, they should go up again today.
Actually, the strike rate was fine but dividends were down and as we know,
it is the longshots that bring those up. We missed yesterday with two double
digit longshots going down but placing.
Well it's Wednesday
again and we are looking for winners. I've already made plans for my winnings
last weekend or at least my wife has!
Tuesday January
31st: More news of possible successes from last Saturday. Using a $110
parlay betting Grandslam bets as 1,2,3,4 then 2,3,4,5 and finally bets 3,4,5,6
the first parlay or yankee returned $664, the second $44,000+ and the third
$49,000+ and in this third series the last bet was $28,000 on Mono Rock
which didn't win.
One Member had
Mono Rock going for $11,000 in that last race as a result of his multi bet.
A number of members
also pointed out that had we combined our top three rated selections in
last Saturdays Quadrella we would have collected. It paid over $300,000!!!
Why didn't I think of it? It's because the odds of collecting are about
6%. Still, you dont need many at this price to makea profit!
By coincidence
I was writing a story about a way to get the First Four for a $105 outlay.
This stratgey on Saturday would have landed you the $30,000+ First Four
on The Lanz. In fact we gave out the $1500+Trifecta in our First four rated
horses.
Yesterday we had
two winners from eight but the prices were once again too low to make a
profit. For year to date we are now showing over 60 units profit at best
price and even the TAB prices now show a good profit. Our average dividend
has risen to over $5.
The Best Bets
are showing a 64% Strike Rate and Winform Gold has had seven winners from
eight bets this month.
Monday January
30th: We have had a number of Members take exception to Saturdays profit
report as they wrongly believed we should not have backed "The Lanz"
and "Umaquest" because of the change in track conditons. In our
most recent PRINTED communication to Members explaining the Grand Slam service
we stated and I quote "The New and Exclusive Grandslam service operates
on all track conditions". In fact ,our qualifying conditons ensure
this. Note that "The Lanz" ran second at it's previous start in
the wet, "Umaquest" had won on a heavy track and even the $3 winner
had won last start in the wet!
We were getting
ready to gloat about yesterday with a run of winners early in the day but
those dried up with a run of losers. Here's hoping we get back in front
today again.
Sunday January
29th: Is it possible to have a better day than yesterday?? Hardly. Three
Winning Grand Slam selections at $3.30, $29.90 and $36.20 from only six
selections and it enabled our single selection strategy to hit a new high
for January. In addition to this, the Money Factory profit stands at $10906
for the month. Remember, we use a $3200 Bank with two back ups so total
investment is only $9600 and we now have double our starting Bank. Actually
it's more than that becasue we have to add all the profits since we started
this strategy on October 1st. Even December when we lost two lots of $3200
we still ended up with $2000 profit to add to the previous total.
Last Monday and
Tuesday we had two subscribers worried because they were "down"
for the month. We told them there was nothing wrong except their patience.
WE do recommend a Bank of 150 units for those betting level stakes. I do
that as well and yesterday I hit a new record high profit since starting
on my $200 per bet level in October.
Even small punters
won yesterday and their winnings were over $1000.
Friday January
27th: It really was a day for celebration yesterday as we had 10 winners
from 34 selections and all subscribers are now well in front since the Christmas
break. I made $3300 yesterday while I was out celebrating Ausralia Day at Raffertys.
I simply placed all my bets and hoped I would get Best prices. While I missed
some I did not miss Fuji Unkai and bet Best Fluctuation with IASBet (now SportsBet)
Horse Racing and Sports Betting to secure $3.50. It firmed to $2.60
so this one bet yielded an extra $180 in my pocket. In wo days I picked
up all my losses from last weekend and am now $1,000 in front for the week
with two days to go.
Money
Factory has made another $864 between the 25th and 26th and the
last bet was a winner so we are fresh and ready for today. Even if we lose
a Bank between now and next week we will finish with a substantial profit
for the month. A reminder that we have a Free
report available for our 2005 action. The link is on the Main page.
I have been looking
at an interesting strategy for Winform
Ratings subscribers. his invloves the single selections, the C plan
from Racing
Pays More and in races where nether of these plans has a selection,
the 100% plus dutch betting strategy.
'Australia
Day' Thursday 26th January: Sorry, I'm only here to skite today. We
live in Australia and it is really the best place to live, I have travelled
a bit you know. It is also home to the second largest thoroughbred industry
in the World. We also have the choice to bet on around eight TABS and hundreds
of bookmakers plus now betting exchanges and there'll be plenty of those
around by the end of the year.
It's not all good
news though as some of our individual State legislation aims to restrict
free trade by banning advertising i.e. effectively competition between Australian
TABS and bookmakers is stifled in the false belief that somehow each State's
Racing industry will be harmed by the other. Anyhow, enough politics. We
had five winners from 23 bets yesterday for a 16.6 point win or $166 for
every $10 invested. The Money
Factory profits have gone through the roof and the beer tasting
and BBQ is on today along with umpteen Race meetings around the country.
Happy Australia
Day!!
Wednesday 25th
January: ***Here's some late news*** Our second winner today has paid
$15.30 and the resulting profit through Money
Factory has now reached $7646 for the year to date. That's after
371 bets 86 wins at an average of just $4.16
I'll be looking
forward to tomorrow. It's Australia Day and after setting my bets I will
be going to Raffertys
Resort where for a mere $5 I'll partcipate in a good old Aussie
BBQ with wine and beer tasting. Did I say BEER tasting? YUP, sure did. I'll
take Ros as my designated driver of course. Yesterday was a winning day
with five winners from 12 bets to take our average back to 20% for the last
75 bets but the average dividend is not too flash at just $3.35. Money
Factory is still running within its preset limits and it just needs
the right sequence of bets to get clear. Maybe today.
I had a look at
the various TABs and what was paid yesterday. We take the better of NSW
TAB or Starting Price and that was $15.30 for our twelve bets. SP
only paid $12.8, Unitab $14.0, STAB $14.4 and NSW $15.10. IAS Super Price was $15.02. You can see
why it doesn't make sense to bet just with the TAB or for that matter just
with Bookmakers unless you can get Best Fluctuation. Let's look at the closest
comparison, NSW TAB and better of this or SP. The difference is just twenty cents. I bet $200
on each selection, so yesterday my difference was $40. Multiply this by
say 300, the minimum number of days I would bet. That's $12,000, TWELVE
THOUSAND DOLLARS DIFFERENCE.
I f you bet just
$20 per bet that's $1200, TWELVE HUNDRED DOLLARS. Can you
believe some people still tell me they bet woth the TAB because it's convenient!
Convenience costs. The TAB has it's place, there is no doubt of that, especially
for certain bet types but for win only betting there are too many other
options.
CAN YOU
BELIEVE THE PRICE OF IAS? It is only a few months since we mentioneed
that they seemed well priced at between 25 and 30 cents. I bought at 32
cents. They are now 57 cents and rising. The Sunherald last Sunday recommended
them as a buy with an expected peak at $1 or more.
Tuesday 24th
January: The Money
Factory is currently $1766 behind and it has been 63 bets ago on
Janaury 18th that we last made a profit. The two winners yesterday at $7.50
and $3.20 were not enough to clear the Bank and the number of seconds was
frustrating. We remain at better than $5,000 profit since December 30th.
The past 63 bets have produced just 10 winners, so the strike rate will
pick up soon. We have one member who doesn't bet until we gte ito a bad
run like this. It used to be called "coming in on the grouter"
and it seems to work for him although he must miss a lot of winners when
we're going well.
We're busy working
on a great project for February and we've organised an incredible incentive
deal which will make Februarys punting at the Autumn Carnival a great opportunity
to take risks. If you haven't registered but would like to receive these
two offers in the mail simply email your contact details to direct@hunterlink.net.au
Obviously I didn't
make money yesterday so I will be looking for extra opportunities to catch
up today.
Monday 23rd
January: The Winform Top Two was excellent yesterday with a 44% Strike
Rate and winners, well $40, $15, $19 and several more like this heralded
a great day for Members using Powerbet but for our Winform Singles followers
there was little joy as all these horses were second rated. Since December
30th the singles had 288 bets for 69 winners, 24%, at $4.21 average which
is a small level stakes profit but over $5,000 profit on Money Factory.
The recent few days stand at minus $968 on the program with 47 bets but
just 8 winners at average $3.04. A run of three or four short priced winners
or a winner at $10 or more will put us back in profit.
I was smart over
the weekend. I found a lot of extra bets from track upgrades and so on and
managed to bet just two winners from 34 bets. This included a run of 32
losers in a row. It cost me $5k loss at the weekend afte the previous weeks
+$13k so still over $8k in front. A day off yesterday would have saved a
lot of money.
Sunday January
22nd: 31% winners from just 48 races yesterday with a $12 winner at
Ascot late in the Winform Top Two helping Powerbet users. The single selections
failed, although there were a limited number of selections. With only two
winners from ten selections on Friday at ordinary prices we have finished
the week behind th eightball but the Money Factory is still within normal
limts. We are nowhere near busted yet.
Last week, those
Winform Members hat participated in our October promotion, got a second
distribution courtesy of our single selection bets on Austote. The bank
has a distribution everytime it increases by 20% so we have distributed
40% in dividends since November 1st and still have our original Bank. Austote
does not cover all races but it does operate on a 105% market so it is not
so hard to win.
Today is Sunday
and I am hoping for a good day today with the singles. We have been operating
at the right overall strike rate so all we are waiting for is the next longshot,
the surfers wave that will take us to the beach.
Friday January
20th: It was a bit of a washout yesterday with all those unexpected
storms. My bets were on early so I was stuck and couldn't get off and as
far as our records go those bets will be in our data file as "ON".
If you were watching, you would have had just five bets for one $2winner,
not good but not a major loss either. Being stuck with all the bets you
ended with eleven bets for three winners at $2.50, $4.40 and $2.00 and about
the same end result.
Looking at tomorrow's
races I can see it is a pretty ordinary day with no Feature races. We made
one up. The Open Handicap in Adelaide. We should get the winner in our top
three with ordinary luck. Funny thing, these ordianry days with ordinary
races often provide the best results.
Thursday January
19th: I have just finished updating Money Factory after yesterday. Monday,
Tuesday and Wednesday were all losing days on level stakes but yesterday
we were able to clear the current Money Factory series with an $18 profit.
We are still in front on level stakes for the year, make no mistake about
that but the above illustrates how careful money management can make profits
even when your luck is a bit down. The current profit is $5745.
I had a query
from a client who works during the day. He also has been doing a Money
Factory workout based on what he sees when he gets home. He used
ONLY TAB dividends for his workouts and queried our figures. According to
Wayne, we would have lost over $2,000 to this point using the TAB exclusively.
We use the dividends we actually get by getting best price from our recommended
bookmakers, as you would do if you were betting with your own money. Here
you can see the difference is over $7,000! Who wouldn't make the effort
to get the best odds?
You know there
are many punters out there today who are consistent losers simply because
they don't know that they can do better. If this is you, you can call us
(02) 49501747 for Free advice or email Editor@hunterlink.net.au
Wednesday January
18th: Yesterday I
was out for the morning waiting to get my car serviced. If you promise not
to get upset I'll tell you what it is. You see some people, for reasons
of their own, don't like people who are successful, we even got an irate
letter once which stated in part " I am sick of hearing about your
successes. When are you going to write about the ordinary punter."
What upset me was that the inference was that the "ordinary" punter
isn't capable of winnning and I can assure you that it is not true.We have
many "ordinary" punters who started betting just $10 or $20 who
now bet in hundreds, or in some cases, thousands. Anyway, I drive a BMW,
in fact I have two, I worked hard to get it and I deserve it and if Racing
wasn't successful for me I couldn't afford it.
Anyhow, I spent
the morning wandering around inner city Newcastle and I even took a trip
"overseas" to Stockton and back. On returning to the dealer it
was suggested I might like to read the paper and have a coffee while they
washed my vehicle for me. I didn't mind.
The rest of the
day was not as kind with the single selections providing two winners at
prices insufficient to cover our outlay, however, I did make $400+ when
I backed four horses in the Open Handicap at Murwullimbah. I did however,
have a minor problem with IAS.
Their website is being updated and I was unable to get my bets on there
because I altered my original betslip. I was a bit annoyed but then later
I noticed a "notice" on their website warning that during their
site upgrade this could happen. It also gave details on how to fix the problem.
Monday January
16th: Sunday was very good again with 47% in the Winform Top Two. It
really is going well and as I write we have just found a second rated winner
at $15 at Moruya. This unusual track gets firmer as the tide comes in as
it is built on a sand base and quite close to the sea. Expected rain later
today will actually improve the track condition as the sand base packs in
the wet. Yesterday saw the Money
Factory improve to $5571 for the month with another $200 profit.
I have been a
bit distracted today with a blown solar hot water system at my house and
a number of other commitments. Well, that's Mondays I guess. We've launched
a New phone service for people who don't want to use the Internet and this
features just our Grandslam selections. Last year these selections made
40% profit on turnover with just a few selections each Saturday. All bets
are Metropolitan and so betting best fluctuation can be the best option.
Our reglar subscribers get these selections included for free with the ratings.
Sunday January
15th: And we wake up to a great couple of days. Our single selections,
as predicted, have a slightly higher than average strike rate (23.4%) but
lower average dividend ($4.35) for a minimal profit at level stakes but
it's a hell of a lot better than losing. The Money
Factory has now cantered to a $5371 profit for 2006 to date. This
means that we have our three $3200 Banks intact and even if we gave up one
we would still be in front for the month.
Because I am personally
making sure I get the best possible odds betting a mixture of top fluctuation, IAS super price,
and Austote and Rod Cleary in Melbourne and Bill Murphy in Sydney, my personal profits for the past
week are approaching $13,000 but it all starts again today. Each week is
a challenge. After a great start, both Wednesday and Thursday were wipeouts
with not a single winner, although I did manage a great dutch bet win on
Wednesday that took some of the sting out.
You know, a lot
of so called professional people who have looked at our publications and
our Winform rating strategies are quick to dismiss it all as having no value.
This is because of the popular belief that weight ratings and pace etc.
are the keys to successful punting and of course, following the money. These
people also believe that professional punting is all about having a few
solid bets and stacking thousands on them. My total betting for the week
is probably equal to this strategy yet I never bet more than a couple of
hundred dollars per selection. This keeps my betting "under the radar"
and that way the dividends are not affected. The most successful professional
punters are the ones who graft away and keep turning over the money. Look
at the Banks. They are extremely profitable yet they make their money by
lending it out, getting it back, lending it out again. If we see ourselves
as doing the same it brings a whole new light onto the punting game.
Friday 13th
January: Well I might as well have let my bets go yesterday as we had
a second successive day of no winners. The Money
Factory program is still in control with only a 30% drawdown at
this stage and that is one of the reasons why we use it. Forget about bad
luck today, we are certainly due for a correction. We update the ratings
about 11 a.m today after we get the scratchings for the night meeting. Tomorrow
is Magic Milions day and the Gold Coast gets a stand alone meeting. It will be interesting
to see how the weather affects things. Subscribers can have a look at our
eary ratings on the race now.
Thursday January
12th: Today I am helping my son move so wont be able to track any results,
watch any races or any price moves. I have arranged for someone to place
my level stakes bets and the girls at the office will track Money
Factory. Yesterday we had few bets and no winners. The last two
nghts the WA selections have let us down badly. Neither Albany nor Bunbury
could find a winner from seven selections. Many of those selections had
superior city form but they could not translate that into success at the
provincials as they often do in NSW Victoria and Queensland. Hopefully it's
just a temporary thing.
Wednesday 11th: I arrived at 7 a.m. this morning ready to have a final look at Place betting
to see if those people who really prefer to bet this way would have any
chance of success. The answer is a clear "No". Looking at the
single selections for the past month we have a 48% strike rate at $1.88.
Using IAS to
get slightly better dividends and Money
Factory to look after the Staking, we should have been able to do
something but no. Here's the problem. We end up starting at a moderate bet
of say $33. If we have a losing run of just five or six and then get a few
$1.10 or $1.04 dividends, we end up moving up to a higher bet level but
never quite reach our profit goal. Instead we ended up after 200 or so bets,
blowng the Bank because in this sequence our strke rate of 47% at $1.70
was below the threshold necessary to make profits, even though there were
some place dividends as high as $6.
The other problem
is that when you have a bet of a few hundred dollars for the place on a
$6 dividend horse, you could signal a bet back which could reduce the dividend
and so negate any advantage you may have.
The single selections
made a good profit yesterday and the Money
Factory is arond $2,000 in profit for the month to date. There will
be few selections today because of the wet tracks, still, just two winners
would be enoug to make a profit today.
Tuesday January
10th: The Money
Factory sits another $800 higher after two quick winners today at
$22 and $7 and there are still a few to run. The Members login was fixed
last night but dropped out at 12 noon today for a few hours. Back on line
about 3, apparently the engineer forgot to screw his head back on. Let's
hope we get some of thse Albany selections home later tonight.
Monday January
9th: Our Members login was in and out all day yesterday and is still
not right. Luckily, all subscribers also have our 1900 phone numbers and
pins for just such an emergency (if you have misoplaced this please call.
For Best
Bet subscribers there were two bets for two winners at $2.03 and
as much as $6.53 depending where you bet. Our single selections were successful
and once again the profit you made was dependent on where you placed your
bet. At IAS you scored better on all but one winner yesterday and Austote had good prices
on the selections at meetings that they covered.
On our Money
Factory workout we are at +$1900 since January 1st on our $3200
Bank. This is a good start and comparess favorably with last year's $62000+
total. One anomaly in the program that can make a difference is that when
your profit goal comes within reach, the bets size may suddenly reduce.
This is a protective measure to make you take stock. I always make sure
that after a winner I repeat my bet.
Another problem
that can be encountered is where two or more races virtually run into one
another. This happened yesterday so I assume that the first bet will lose
and place the second bet at the same amount. If the first bet wins then
the next bet will normally be the same size and if it loses you have at
least 80% of the required bet on. It's a bettre strategy than watching your
second selection win at a good price without you on it!
Sunday January
8th: Having the advantage of using the Winform
GTX program I was able to exploit the change of track conditions
at Toowoomba last night. In races 3,4 and 5 the second rated horses came
to the top in the better conditions. I linked these up as a treble and three
doubles for a $7 K pay off and an investment of just $200. Winform rayings
are expecially effective at Toowoomba.
There were some
good results for second rated horses yesterday too with Play To Win a spectacular
winner of Adelaide Race 7 at $17. Grandslam had just one bet for a winner
and continues on its winning way.
Saturday January
7th: Yesterday was quite O.K. with five good winners, although the dividends
didn't allow us to make a profit. Today our Money
Factory should go into profit even though there are few selections
because of the rain affected tracks. I have done a lot of research and from
today am eliminating all fields of less than 8 and more than 14. The winners
in small fields averaged only about $3.70 and the winners in big fields
were still on the average. I had to cut Mt Billy in race 7 at Morphettville
this afternoon even though I like his chances. Still, a system is a system.
Maybe I'll have a go if the price is good. Even though the Doomben track
is heavy I am having a go at the First Four which on Unitab has jackpot
of $67,000. This will attract a lot of business and the final pool could
go over $300,000 so it's worth a go, especially as the Winform picks are
quite long in the market.
Thursday January
5th: The good winner at $8+ yesterday was partly responsible for a lift
in the current Money
Factory profit to over $800 for the New Year. It's 4 o'clock and
we have had no winners today but the majoirty of the selections have yet
to run. We have five selections at Canterbury tonight. I have had two extra
bets today resulting in a first and a second. I have seen no opportunities
so far for a trifecta or quinella play.
Wednesday January
4th: And the year is racing ahead already. A very good winning day yesterday
with over $1,000 profit. I found a good Quinella and rifecta play at Port
Macquarie. The Trifecta was $24 and Quinella $60 for a $10 unit. It was
a very ordinary race and the short priced favourite which had relatively
good form, although slow form, was the only horse outside our three that
had a realistic chance of winning. The Quinella returned me around $200,
so an extra $100+ for five minutes work.
Sometimes, we
have to look beyond our ratings and take into account market factors, as
I did in this case. It doesn't mean we include favourites willy nilly, it
simply means "have a look" to see if you should include it, especially
in multiples, as favourites fill a slot over 60% of the time. In the race
I looked at yesterday, all of our top three selections were at double figure
odds. This is the other factor. It was our second placed runner that made
the good Quinella dividend.
As you can see
from the above, you don't need to invest huge sums of money to be a professional.
The average "mug" punter honestly believes that professional punters
spend their time betting in thousands at a time. It's simply not necessary.
The true professional punter grinds away making small but regular returns
with the occasional "windfall" win.
Tuesday January
3rd: We had a good wining day yeterday again. I spoke to John French
this morning. He is an absolute wizard in that he has so far (and he has
been going since October) failed to bust a Money
Factory Bank. Of course he was lucky that he was away for a critical
few days when we had that bad run. The prices have been nothing to write
home about and that is just a normal thing at this time of the year when
there are few wet tracks. Horse are definitely more consistent on good tracks.
I have some work
to do but I am looking at a few more ideas that might make it easier for
people who work, to run the Money
Factory idea. Stay tuned and I'll let you know when that is ready.
On a completely
different front, I have been able to secure two Real Estate sales for my
son's and daughter's houses. The market has not only bottomed but is starting
to bounce up. A lot of financial pressure is about to be lifted and that
can only be good. Only a few bets today as the Racing scene recovers from
the excessive number of Race meetings conducted over the holidays.
Monday January
2nd: Here's an update for the week. The single selections had another
hard run but rounded out the year with big winning days on Friday and Saturday.
One Member who only bets from Tuesday to Saturday was able to make $11,000
for the past two months from a Money
Factory Bank of $3200. Our workout, which inludes all days, and
started on November 15th made over $2,000 even though level stakes for the
last four weeks is in slightly negative territory.
The number of
2nds, many in photos, has frustrated the hell out of us. There was also
a run of 19 losers last Wednesday which extended to over 20 if you indluded
the last few bets from Tuesday. In spite of this, the Money Factory had
slipped neatly back into profit a day later.
The evidence proves
that Staking Plans can work. Racing is just a faster running version of
the Stockmarket.
The first day
of January was a let down. A number of meetings became rain affected and
Gosford was called off because of the heat! We ended up with a reasonable
day on the Ratings but the singles were poor. Summer can be either very
very good or very very bad. We shouldn't even begin to guess.
FRIDAY December
23rd: The office may be closed from lunchtime but the bets are out there
and hopefully working for us. Yesterday the Money
Factory moved back up past the $1,000 profit mark. Out of interest,
I ran off the results of backing the top rated Winform horse in every race
every day for the past year. Our average dividend was just over $5 on a
strike rate of just under 20%. This was sufficient to make a small profit
and an astute punter would have eliminated those horses where it was obvious
the expected result was simply not worth the action e.g in afiled of 90%
first starters where the only horse that has started is the top rated horse
by default for running last or near at it's only start.
There are many
more eliminations that could be made based on prices available etc. that
would be obvious to most regulars. There is no other set of ratings we know
of that can boast results like this.
The Winform
bookshop will operate as normal and our office for phone enquiries
will be open next Wednesday-Friday. I hope to finish the year with a round
of good winners today and tomorrow but if not there is plenty of Racing
left before the year comes to a close.
THURSDAY December
22nd: A lot of water has gone under the bridge in the past few days.
We had that Money
Factory bust but we retain $800 profit still. We had 91 wins from
456 bets at an average of $4.80 so we are not far from our norm. Today we
were unable to update as early as we would like due to Internet malfunctions
but it is all clear now. We emailed every client with the selections and
by 1.30 our ISP had recified the problem. Mid afternoon, and our first three
selections have all run 2nd. Our first bet won at $9 but lost what to the
commentators was a frivolous protest.
I had a look today
at using Money
Factory to bet the single selections for the place only. I found
it necessary to use a $10,000 Bank, otherwise the base bet was too low.
There were never any problems but profit per month came to only about $800.
When you get four losers and then a $1.30 placing, it can take a long time
to get out of the hole. We had already proven that each way betting with
these works and so does the win only strategy so I think we're best to stick
to those.
MONDAY
December 19th: Saturday we experienced
the unthinkable. Twenty two bets without a winner and Sunday was three from
17 so 3 from 39 for the weekend. The Money
Factory is hanging on by the skin of it's teeth with a $5 winner
with the very last bet before BUST. However, over $1,000 came in late so
we have enough in the kitty for another 6 or 7 bets. Even if we do bust,
however, we have over $3900 in profit.
Personally I am
down about $5k for the week. So much for Santa and his presents. We need
a few winners now! Looking back, I can see that we are still in front for
December! A Punter's lot is not decided on a single day, week or month,
although it seems like it at the time.