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Garry Robinson
Elsewhere you'll see an article about attaining a 60% strike rate. At that stage we had only about 25 bets. Three months later we have experienced over 60 bets and our strike rate is still over 50%! We have had our first real losing run (only 5 winners from our last 15 bets) and our place strike is hovering around 75%.

At the present rate we will have about 140-150 bets per year or about three bets per week. These are the crème de la crème , the most select bets it is possible to have with every selection qualifying under our special select rules.

On a statistical basis it is possible, although unlikely, that we could suffer a losing run of up to 17 but that is on the basis of having 10,000 bets. Chances are we will never see such a bad run. Personally about 8 or 9 is the most likely, so that amounts to two or three weeks of pain. Most punters suffer much more than that.

A recent bad experience was had by the followers of a very good plan that sustains better than one winner in three. In three successive days there were 15 bets for just one short priced winner. Goodbye half the Bank!  To make matters worse, there were only two winners in the previous eight bets.

So what do we look at, the short term pain or the long term gain?

Let's play it safe. Why not stick to just 2% of the Bank as our bet level? This will sustain us through fifty losing bets and that simply won't happen. We wonder about the people who advocate using 10% of the Bank as a safe bet level. With the specials listed below you would have no worries but what about 17 outs? Wipeout!

Why not try a workout betting just 2% of your Bank and increasing as your Bank grows. That way, the risk is always the same but you can gradually increase your betting by adding in the profits. It is more than likely that you could double your Bank every six months or so.

Here is a full list of selections for you to have a play with. Note the runs of placed horses.

DATE
HORSE
FINISHED
WIN RETURN
8/1/99
VERDICT DECLARED
2
 
9/1/99
KINGSTON PARADE
1
$5.00
 
SHES NEAT
1
$3.25
17/1/99
MUSLIN ROSE
   
 
HOPEWOOD
3
 
 
SINGITA
3
 
23/1/99
MCJOEY
   
26/1/99
AL HARIQ
1
$2.90
30/1/99
STREAK
1
$1.90
 
BOLD REGENT
1
$3.30
6/2/99
SIZZLING SNIPPETS
1
$2.50
8/2/99
MIGHTY AMBER
1
$2.10
11/2/99
JUGHATRICE
2
 
12/2/99
LORING
1
$1.80
13/2/99
VIDA CELESTE
   
 
COMMANDS
   
 
ARIMETHEA
1
$2.00
 
KIMBERLEY GOLD
1
$5.50
14/2/99
RHONA
2
 
 
HOT N BREEZY
1
$1.70
21/2/99
ELISHIR
1
$2.25
 
CATBIRD
1
$1.67
25/2/99
FAYROUZ
1
$5.40
27/2/99
HUNTER WINEMAKER
2
 
 
GRAND ARCHWAY
   
3/3/99
IONISE
1
$3.25
4/3/99
GEORGEOUS INDEED
1
$2.75
8/3/99
HIGH OFFICE
1
$3.50
13/3/99
ZANADEN
1
$4.50
17/3/99
GOOD ENOUGH
1
$1.50
20/3/99
MYSTERY COMMAND
   
24/3/99
PEDROS PRINCESS
1
$1.90
 
TOTALLY CONFUSED
   
 
MAGYNSKY
2
 
27/3/99
NIN HARAKA
1
$1.50
28/3/99
CHIVAS N REGAL
   
3/4/99
FAYETTE
2
 
5/4/99
ALIGN
1
$2.90
7/4/99
VANDALISM
1
$1.70
10/4/99
SIR MOULA
   
 
MY ISLAND HOME
2
 
17/4/99
PRINCE HAKEEM
1
$1.50
 
DEDICATION BOY
1
$3.50
24/4/99
BONZER BLUE
1
$3.90
 
BRIGHTER SCENE
   
1/5/99
NOIRCOIR
1
$3.20
8/5/99
NORMANDIE
1
$2.75
12/5/99
GRAND ARCHWAY
2
 
14/5/99
ALWAYS IRISH
2
 
15/5/99
SWEEPSHOT
   
17/5/99
MOVILLES SLIPPER
   
 
MERINGO BAY
   
 
MARKET PRICE
1
$2.10
20/5/99
WHAT A MESS
   
22/5/99
SENATE LEASE
   
 
PERFECT PARADISE
1
$1.30
29/5/99
EPISODE
1
$2.10
 
IN PERIL
2
 
29/5/99
MULTITUDE
2
 
 
MORE ACTION
   

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