By Garry Robinson
Randwick Saturday 2/10/99 and we see fast times recorded in almost every
race. What does this do for us? Have a look at Flemington Race 2 on Monday
the 4th . Strictly Jazz wins paying $84!! At Winform we didn’t
back her because of her low win strike of 8%, but then we didn’t know she
was 80/1 either. Had we known so it would have been different. Less than
a week earlier Strictly Jazz had finished a few lengths behind Zerpour
(last to finish I might add) in track record time at Geelong. On strictly
times you would have had to have her in your top chances. As I said, she
Following the horses from Saturday’s Randwick meeting is different though.
Here we have many classy horses confirming their ability by running fast
times. The Epsom 1.33.67, Tie The Knot 2.1.69 after a slow first 1000,
Cellar 1.21.76 for 1400 metres, Spinning Wheel 1.9.74 for 1200 metres and
Mr Bureaucrat 1.21.66 for the same distance. But don’t watch these horses.
Watch the ones that finished a few lengths behind who will re appear in
lesser class over the next few weeks. From eight races I believe you will
find about 20-30 winners before the Melbourne Cup is run and won, many
of them at good odds too!
Shogun Lodge just missed in one of the slower times, 2.02.25 but he
will win next start over a longer distance. The lesser light Liberty Hall
will also make his mark. Re Enact will be a very good horse if he overcomes
his habit of being slowly away. He made up many lengths in the straight.
Not only was he late away but he also was checked when trying to get back
into the race. The 57.90 of this race was not a record but the winner Kootoomootoo
was also slowly away.
From Flemington the best races, after taking into account the going
and the altered distances, were Black Beans’s 1.9.82 for 1200 metres and
Vetyvere’s 1.24.71 for 1417 metres . Horses to follow from this race may
be Another Marauder (4th) and the winner as well as Weasel Will.
River Affiar may well be the horse to follow from Black Bean’s event. River
Affair was one of only two runners against the inside fence in this event
which clearly favoured the outside horses. River Affair tried to cross
but was too late to figure in the finish after doing lots of good work
early. Wait for good going.
So there are just a few observations. You could make a few of your own
by looking through the results. Particularly look at horses which may have
missed a place but next start will be well placed in lesser company. Most
punters only look for the magic numbers 1,2,3. Smart punters often look
for 6,7,8,9 and 0 in races which were fast run or where the horses finished
close up in fast times.
As with Strictly Jazz , the rewards can be there. So while we didn’t
get the winner we did have her in our top five selections. A box five trifecta
costs $30 and the dividend $1900!! Worth thinking about?